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  1. Z

    Gaussian/ non-Gaussian

    I have often thought that it would be a good strategy to buy options with strikes just outside of 2 standard deviations sell the next closest strike within 2 standard deviation. Everyone seems to think that this is the magic barrier of likelihood when really it is just a made up number based on...
  2. Z

    Buffet's holdings as of June 30th

    A few years back late one night a buddy of mine thought it was funny to call up 411 and get famous peoples phone numbers. We called Ted Turner in Atlanta and some redneck threatened to shoot us if people didn't stop bothering him. Next we called Warren Buffet in Omaha. The phone rang five times...
  3. Z

    Eadgar or Sedar for UK and Europe

    bump- I'm sure others would use the site too.
  4. Z

    Random OR Non-random Walk?

    Thanks, good stuff
  5. Z

    Random OR Non-random Walk?

    academics, Soros, Random Walk and the scientific method What do they have in common? The academics of the western world have taught the masses to apply the scientific method to all fields of study including finance and economics. In my opinion the random walk theory represents the best...
  6. Z

    IB new forex spreads

    I have a quick question about IB commission rates. I have been doing a bit of idealpro trading lately and made my first trade in the pound this afternoon. I was wondering how the commission rates work exactly. With USD denominated pair it is easy to figure out $2.50 per side mean I need a three...
  7. Z

    Eadgar or Sedar for UK and Europe

    Does anybody know what the electronic public company database website is for the UK and Europe? I'm sure I not the only one who would be interested in this.
  8. Z

    Reading suggestions wanted

    Do not take "Random Walk" too seriously because when it comes right down to it the book is dead wrong. It is hard to see this because it explains the market to the "scientific consensus" that most educated people have. A much better book to read in it's stead is "The Alchemy of finance" by...
  9. Z

    Shorted RFX... Hmm.. Now what?

    I just had a quick look at interactivebrokers website and it looks like you can't be short a stock if it is below $2. You could look to buy around that price but make sure your nimble enough to get out quickly as if it goes to two it could go to zero.
  10. Z

    Appling the dow theory to USD pairs

    If wanted to rework the dow theory that both the industrial and transportation averages must be above their 200 day moving before going long the DJIA, what currencies would you choose? I was thinking of using the pound to confirm the euro but the yen plays a greater role in the liquidity...
  11. Z

    Holding Positions All Day!

    It is my belief that the market tend to be volatile during the day, not the night(look at a chart). The whole idea of being flat at the end of the day is left over from the tech bubble and from the 9:30 to 4:15 trading day. If prop trading started today I think the consensus ideas about these...
  12. Z

    Liquidation World - LQW (TSX)

    As you know from my earlier post I would really like to be a bull on this company. After looking at their sedar documents it starts to look like a money losing business with no assets other than inventory and $14m in debt. The value of the inventory will be an educated guess at best and I would...
  13. Z

    Trading 8pm Eastern gaps

    I noticed that lately when a forex pair gaps at the 6pm open it often runs until 8pm when it tends to reverse. Does anybody know of and studies done on this or trade with this strategy?
  14. Z

    Trading KOSPI option contract just like a futures contract

    Does anybody out there trade backspreads with KOSPI options? When IB gets the contact I am thinking about implementing that strategy. Is there anything non-intuitive that you wish someone told you before you stared trading.....etc.
  15. Z

    Sabotaging profitable traders on Spot FX dealers?

    "Futures" Magazine.
  16. Z

    Liquidation World - LQW (TSX)

    I don't know much about the company as a whole but I do know that the Cambridge Ontario location is always busy. The clerk there told me that when they get the frozen food in on Wednesdays and Saturdays it is often sold out within hours. Personally I like the store. It is full of reasonable...
  17. Z

    Long Synthetic Straddles

    Has anybody out there ever tried rebate trading while long gamma? I think the key to long option trading is to trade the underlying with a strategy that is successful in congested markets.
  18. Z

    Inflation BLOWOUT!

    Here are some thoughts I had about inflation while I was in the train station in Edinburgh Scotland a few years back. An increase in the price of a commodity can either be inflationary, that is an increase in both prices and economic activity, or stagflation, that is an increase in prices and...
  19. Z

    Is trading Gambling or not .."What say You" Vote here.

    There a big difference between assuming the risk of what card will be turned up next and assuming a risk that someone needs to offset so that they can run a business. I have to say that I find this question insulting. Not it isn't something that all traders have to sort out for themselves but...
  20. Z

    DBKFX on IB

    Tonight for the first time I was able to call up forex data for DBKFX on my interactivebrokers account. I tried to place an order well outside of the bid/ask and I got a message "DBKFX on accepts marketable orders". Could someone from IB give mme a quick rundown on forex trading on DBKFX. Thanks
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