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  1. R

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    NATO won't get involved. Not US either. Only economic "sanctions". Ukraine is just a larger Cuba or Grenada. Both Russia and China are not happy that US is leading all the "allies" to surround both Russia and China. Look at the NATO and the Quad.
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    Bill Ackman Interest Rate Hedges & NFLX

    Hold NFLX for 5 years or longer?
  3. R

    Anyone Bottom Fishing Buying SOXL with Me?

    In SOXL $39 again. Target $49. Stop loss $0. Using the gain from today to risk it.
  4. R

    Bill Ackman Interest Rate Hedges & NFLX

    NFLX is down to $390 now. Ackman is not making anything. Yet he gave up all his gains on the interest rate hedge. What a dumb trade. Just do not know why people still think Bill Ackman is smart....
  5. R

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    When Trump was in office, he would want to drill Syria's oil, sell to American buyers cheaply. And use that money to support Kurds and anyone he wants to support.
  6. R

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    Biden will never talk oil company executives on oil production. Biden may ask them to lover oil price. Or provide free or cheaper gas to poor people. Or print gas coupons.
  7. R

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    Fill up the gas tank. I guess Fed can have a weekend meeting....
  8. R

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    What the heck is going on? US running out of oil? Or the war is coming over the weekend? Biden is in deep trouble now. CL is on fire. $100 is within reach.
  9. R

    Bill Ackman Interest Rate Hedges & NFLX

    Here is an interesting letter from Bill Ackman's Pershing Square when it acquired 3.1MM shares of NFLX from 1/21 and day later. By looking at NFLX's trading volumes, it appears most of the shares were purchased on 1/21 and 1/22. Here are the market prices during that period. On 1/21...
  10. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    I think Bullard's statement may have been coordinated with Jay Powell. A top Fed official won't speak out without his own responsibility. It could be the directive from Fed Chair to communicate with the market and get prepared for the 1% rate increase by July 1. This is the same way company...
  11. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    Traders already started buying dips...... Market over-reacted.
  12. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    I do not think there is anything wrong with Bullard statement. Fed can certainly do a 0.50% in March meeting. Bond market already accepted that as given. Market would be surprised if Fed does not do that. Total 1% before July 1 is perfect doable and Fed should just do that. Of course...
  13. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    As to today's stock market, stock market got it totally wrong. After the early drop at open, it was another "buy the dip" day. ES recovered all the early loss. But look at the bond market. It dropped like a rock from the CPI news. But stock traders ignored all of that. That was clearly...
  14. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    Traders all read the same news source(s). But the question on how we digest the news and come up with our own ideas. This may be the "edge". The most important thing in trading/investing is to have our own ideas. Before, trend following was the "trend". But that has lost its edge. We do...
  15. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    It actually may be a good day to buy dip.
  16. R

    Whispers Of An Emergency Fed Rate Hike As Soon As Tomorrow

    What a .25% rate hike does tomorrow? Nothing really. Fed is not in any panic mode. They realize the rate hike just won't do anything. Useless. They want to show the market that Fed is in control and no panic.
  17. R

    CPI Inflation at 7.5%. What else to Expect?

    Now NQ is back to -2% again....
  18. R

    Invite XOM back to Down Jones?

    XOM was kicked out of Dow Jones 30 and was replaced with something like Salesforce.com. It was a near-sighted move by Dow Jones to exclude a 335B US largest energy company out of DJ 30. Maybe DJ should consider inviting XOM back to DJ-30 again.
  19. R

    CPI Inflation at 7.5%. What else to Expect?

    The Russia/Ukraine thing is more of a political show. No one wants to fight a war. But Biden and West do not want to show any weakness. So the tension will continue. Biden/Democrats popularity is inversely correlated to inflation or energy prices. Biden's energy policy and the cold wars...
  20. R

    CPI Inflation at 7.5%. What else to Expect?

    Well, is bank analysts keep calling on buying dips, common folks would want to follow. This is exactly what happened. Investors have been forward looking. They do not consider the discount cash flow model. But they think about how much cash or earning Google or MSFT can generate this...
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