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Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 36%, LS – 34, SS – 18% / We are witnessing a very large change in the cot report (bearish signal) pushing us towards bearish cot extreme levels. I’m not saying that “the time has come”… but we do know...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Lumber COT Change (52W) / C – 29%, LS – 31, SS – 15% / Although the cot change signal is negative (bearish), looking at the longer charts we can see that we are actually not far away (in time and in net contracts also) from...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Oats COT Change (52W) / C – 43%, LS – 15, SS – 42% / The cot change signal is positive, suggesting prices can climb higher in the near future. This is backed by a relative bullish cot extreme (nothing too large, so we are not...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review was not updated this week, but here’s my weekly snapshot anyway! Orange Juice COT Change (52W) / C – 23%, LS – 25, SS – 12% / Large cot change sell signal from the report. Not surprising seeing the nice rise in prices! BTW, isn’t it a...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-400 COT Change (52W) / C – 20%, LS – 29, SS – 15% / Although S&P-400 made it to the top in the list regarding the size of change in Commercials position, I don’t believe that it was too significant. The cot extreme is not large...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 27%, LS – 31 / The larger changes in Commercials and Large Specs positions resulted in a bearish cot change signal. Analyzing the market we can come to the conclusion that these cot change signals...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Dow Jones-30 COT Change (52W) / C – 35%, LS – 27 / Ok, the change was large, it may draw prices lower in the next few days… What I’m more interested is the long term picture. Prices are high, but we don’t see any indication from...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Soybean Meal COT Change (52W) / C – 41%, LS – 38 / It’s really only the cot change signal that can affect prices now and of course downwards: we do not have a cot extreme situation at the moment. The last major extreme was the...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 50%, LS – 35, SS – 58% / The picture is bullish. The large change in Trader’s position, the relative cot extreme here and the more visible, large cot extreme in the Dow support further rally. Orange...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-400 COT Change (52W) / C – 25%, SS – 44% / COT Extreme / C – 49 report, SS – All Time COT extreme / The cot change signal is negative, Small Speculators extreme situation also… Could we see further decline in prices? Coffee...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Cocoa COT Change (52W) / C – 45%, LS – 43%, SS – 28% / COT Index (3 yr.) / C – 18%, LS – 84% / The cot change signal is present: a large, bullish signal. Would have been nicer, if we could see it a bit earlier:) --> prices have...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Mexican Peso COT Change (52W) / C – 16%, LS – 14%, SS – 31% / COT Index (3 yr.) / C – 85%, LS – 15%, SS – 21% / The picture has become nice and bullish here in the Mexican Peso: we have a reasonably large change in Traders...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Palladium COT Change (52W) / C – 52%, LS – 56% / This was a large change is Traders positions, but hey (!), let’s not forget about the cot extreme situation that we were in a few weeks ago… the decline we are witnessing now is a...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. New Zealand Dollar COT Change (52W) / C – 43%, LS – 43%, SS – 34% / COT Index (3yr.) / C – 82%, LS – 18%, SS – 27% / Both of our major cot signals this week are very bullish. The change in Traders positions was very large and with...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Soybean Meal COT Change (52W) / C – 27%, LS – 25%, SS – 12% / Not much to say hear, since we’ve only got a change signal, no extreme. The change was large, so it may influence prices this week in a positive way (= pushing prices...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Oats COT Change (52W) / C – 36%, LS – 26%, SS – 17% / The cot change signal is clear, indicating a possible drop in prices, while the cot extreme signal is not strong, although still more bearish than bullish. Palladium COT...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Soybean Meal COT Change (52W) / C – 34%, LS – 23%, SS – 36% / Without having a significant extreme in the market, it’s only the cot change signal that we can act on. The change in traders position was very large, so the signal is...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Palladium COT Change (52W) / C – 25%, LS – 26%, SS – 10% / COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / Both of our major cot signals this week are producing strong bearish signals. The change was quite large besides having all...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Mexican Peso COT Change (52W) / C – 25%, LS – 26%, SS – 10% / The only clear signal we have in mxp right now is the cot change signal, which is bullish. After the relative bearish extreme we had, we are moving fast towards another...

Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Heating Oil COT Change (52W) / C – 15%, LS – 13%, SS – 18% / The largest change in Commercials positions was in Heating Oil this week, so we definitely have a cot signal that we can act on. Of course examining the chart...