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  1. 007Arb

    Can someone explain QE3 to me?

    And let's not forget the housing stocks. Pick anyone and it is one smooth tight rising channel over the past year. http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=tol&insttype=&freq=&show=&x=34&y=16
  2. 007Arb

    Can someone explain QE3 to me?

    +1
  3. 007Arb

    Can someone explain QE3 to me?

    Bernanke is targeting the rebounding housing market by concentrating on MBS securities and hopefully the jobs that market will create if the rebound is for real. The MBS market has been very strong the past few weeks with a narrowing in spreads with Treasuries so at least some weren't surprised...
  4. 007Arb

    Why is this market so dead? Have you all gone broke?

    Some of us thrive on low volatile trending markets. For example, today was the 15th consecutive day of all time highs in the junk bond market per the Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II Index, the proxy for junk bonds. Then again, junk bonds have made all times highs 200+ trading days since...
  5. 007Arb

    Verifying the YTD return of Dividend ETF SDIV?

    What you are missing is Morningstar.com That is the best source for performance for mutual funds and ETFs. Checking SDIV through 8/23 shows a YTD total return of 11.11%
  6. 007Arb

    Minimal return and I have a hard time believing

    Your friend could do the same thing and better with roulette wheels finding a bias. Or with counting cards. But is it worth it? Best to find a bias/trading theme in the markets and just go with that. Eidt: Oops! Just read the link in the above post. I guess some have figured it out...
  7. 007Arb

    Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

    Beginning in the very early 90s, I used the COT extensively while trading the stock index futures but threw it out long, long ago. You may want to read an article by Howard Simons in the June 1998 issue of Futures magazine. He counters the argument of the vendoring industry that trading on the...
  8. 007Arb

    Are niche markets really easier to trade ?

    I've always believed all traders need to find their own niche market. A market you know inside and out. I would hate to think where I would be had I not discovered open end junk bond funds in 1991 and their amazing persistency of trend. While I made more money in the 80s and 90s trading equity...
  9. 007Arb

    From losing money to taking money from markets

    You don't have to be a systematic trader to be successful. You don't have to be so deep into analysis and left-brain oriented. *It can vary from one trader to another what makes them successful.* For me it is very simple, find the trading theme and then spend the rest of your time with money...
  10. 007Arb

    Hussman Goat Rodeo (HSGFX)

    Beaten his benchmarks by a huge amount??? What exactly do you think are his benchmarks being that he has lost money YTD and over the past 1, 3, and five year time periods and even though ahead 10 years ( a measy 2.24% annualized) still lagged the S&P over that 10 year period.
  11. 007Arb

    Anxious investors day trading with retirement accounts

    They could have simply switched their buy and hold from stocks to bonds - especially junk, emerging markets, or even junk munis - and been doing just fine. Then again, since 2008, equity mutual funds have also done just fine.
  12. 007Arb

    Interested in how many Professional Traders got started.

    >>>Yes, I have a background in programming. Nowadays I think that's a pretty standard skill for a trader, unless they feel like spending hundreds of thousands of dollars in custom development of strategies and front-ends.<<<< That is so, so, wrong. Do you think everyone is a systematic...
  13. 007Arb

    What is your edge ?

    My edge changes with the markets over time. In the late 80s early 90s it was a simple time of day based breakout methodology in the stock index futures. Also in the late 80s and throughout the 90s it was trading new tech/small cap growth funds as they were offered by various fund families (the...
  14. 007Arb

    Why cant you "get it"? We are going into a recession!!!

    If we are going into a recession the junk bond market (which is ultra-sensitive to recessions) hasn't gotten the message yet. In fact, today the proxy for the universe of the junk bond market - the Merrill Lynch High Yield Master II Index closed but a hair off its all time historical highs.
  15. 007Arb

    Did Altucher fail as a trader?

    I give James credit for coming here and so graciously taking all the abuse. Good luck James in whichever direction you decide to take in life.
  16. 007Arb

    My Path To Success

    Lucias, do you ever give it up. One second you say you will get me out of your little games and the next here we go again. How many times do I have to explain it was a paper trading contest and that I was profitable all four months I was in the the contest but dropped out because I readily...
  17. 007Arb

    My Path To Success

    Lucias, where did I ever say I didn't believe in edges?? I had lots of edges in the 80s and 90s with the best being the datelining of international funds, the closest thing to a free lunch on Wall Street as there ever was. I also had the edge of trading at INVESCO and Strong funds where you...
  18. 007Arb

    Obama Stimulus Turns Three: What Has It Achieved?

    What has the Obama stimulus achieved??? Well, if you were a trader/investor your net worth has increased substancially over the past three years as evidenced by the rise in the various stock market/ junk bond indexes. And no, I am not an Obama fan but were I voting with my pocketbook and not...
  19. 007Arb

    gary williams

    I wish that were true about not trading much anymore as this year have been very active, not just junk bond funds but also equity funds as well as some individual stocks. Low volatile markets are my cup of tea and this year reminds me so much of how it was in the 90s. Good luck with your...
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