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Attached is another chart of the last month and a half. Using displaced moving averages and a very simple oscillator. One of these days I'm going to have to get around to writing a dissertation on losing professionally. I guess what's preventing me is the ratio of effort to gain. I have...

When you trade in parabolas, "this" is what sometimes happens. Note the gap to be filled. What you do is YOUR business, but I'd suggest exiting and learning from it with no more tuition. Cigarette paper is a tidy little business, but the world in general discourages smokers. ROE...

Did I hurt your feewin's? Gosh, if so, I'm sorry. I just have this aversion to one-liner's. Reminds me of a heckler in a comedy club. Direction? This thread is about volatility (or the lack of it as the as the case may be). And, this concept would generally precede price movement. In...

I've always perceived myself as a fuckhead magnet. I could give numerous examples, but I'll cite just one. Back in 1999, I was waxing my car, in a park, under a shady tree. Some clown with an Indiana Jones hat and wire rim glasses walked up to me, uninvited, and asked "whatcha doin'?" I...

1200 posts in just over a year. SHEW. Go away. Some of us actually have moola (not Allah) at stake. Well kiddies, isn't quite quiet now, is it? The trough on the 20 day ATR of a swing move can only be determined in hindsight. It's safe to say that occured on January 14th at...

All dynasties (Eygptian, Greek, Roman, Byzantine, Ming,Viking, Ottoman, Spanish) have collapsed OR.......... (Spanish, Czarist Russia, Great Britan, French) a shell of what they once were. But, collapse, or shall we term it decay, is a process, not an event. We acquired reserve currency...

You sure spend a lot of time discussing what they do. Yep they're the keeng of soybeans (which you didn't even mention). Does all of "that" have a correlation with stock pricing? The Moving Average Converge Divergence (MACD) is a woefully slow indicator. It's also a canned indicator...

Too much diversification is the Noah's Ark approach. End up with two of everything and returns in the bell curve at best. IF you adhere to strict position sizing relative to the capital in the account, say 1% and.........IF you're willing to hold positions overnight swing trading (as opposed...

Possibly, but then so could chocolate be addictive. Averaging down is alluring, and the reflection of a gambler. Comforts a bruised ego. Averaging down, aka a Martingale, is compounding a mistake. If you burn your thumb on a range, or you going to put your index finger on there too...

No, but he looks like somebody I dicked around in junior high. That aside, the difference between he and I, is that I don't forget to pay my taxes. Treasury secretaries come and go. The last administration had three. One of which was John Snow (aka tits on a bull).

Addendum. It is true that short interest is identified prey. "They" are probably the more predictable of any of the players n terms of their actions. At some point, whenever, they HAVE to cover. They can be easily induced with an unexpected rally. However, a high short interest is...

The truly relevant short interest data, namely NYSE specialists, always has been reported with a two week lag. That's by design.

Volcker is 83 or 84 years old, 'nuff said. In contrast to Easy Al, Wall Street's pal or Gentle Ben, Volcker was the man. Instrumental in the Prime rate being 21% in 1981. Stifled inflation, brought a secular bottom to 30 year T-Bonds later that year, and the breakout of the DJIA above...

Compound interest is considered by some as the eighth wonder of the world. Of course I consider cgarcia's half-cocked posts instead. The notion that we can continue to borrow 30 years out and re-pay (utopian) in inflation-ravaged dollars is ambitious. The notion that the US borrows from...

No reason why I couldn't use 14, 22, or any other timeframe. Basically, 20 days is a close proximaton to a month. I don't have time to compute twenty (or whatever number) individual TR's The website barchart.com provides (3) timeframes : 9 days, 14 days, and.....................20 days...

No, it doesn't make sense in the context you're implying . You're indicating "stocks" are "doing just as well as in 2007 (when then economy was "at it's best") as now with unemployment and foreclosures. It's an utter contradiction. What it demonstrates is a very loose correlation between...

I'm not obessed with anything other than extracting money from the stock market on a routine basis. Through thick and thin. Not futures, not options, not forex, not bonds, not mutual funds, ..........equities. This would include "tools" that, in my opinion , have some predictive qualitiies...

Since you brought up volume, attached is a decade of the SPY. 1. Meaning no disrespect, briefly intrepret the volume for me. 2. Give me one example of of when observing volume made YOU money. 3. The massive volume (on what I would refer to as the Lehman slide) went where? All the...

I brought up SPY as a benchmark. The same benchmark most use. It doesn't generally have enough volatility to make a lick. Of course this quietness will eventually lead to range expansion. As for the lack of volume meaning something, Not necessarily. Too much typing to discuss all aspects...

Is EACH of YOUR forty four HUNDRED posts as choice as this one? I'm too lazy to take a random sampling. Hmmm. must be you didn't impress me. Expert at 40 year old twat, eh? Incidently, the 20 day ATR bottomed yesterday and ...........523 new highs reduced to 187 today might contain a...