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  1. efficiency

    If you want to fail as a trader, study TA

    Computation of volatility (I use average true range) has predictive qualities. Expansion and contraction is more predictible than price. Only the direction remains to be seen. Relative strength, a synthetic result pitting a prevailing price against an index, say the S&P 500 has predictive...
  2. efficiency

    Trading is mostly about mental

    Envision a piano. It doesn't have to be a Steinway. You can play a symphony on it...........or chop sticks. Truly a matter of which keys you hit with your fingers. You are your own worst enemy. The best trades are green almost immediately. When green, you ride it for all it's...
  3. efficiency

    Why is Warren Buffett Trying to Block Regulation Reform?

    BSBA University of Nebraska MBA Columbia University (including Ben Graham)
  4. efficiency

    Good trading books out there?

    "All" Pretty strong word, and one helluva laundry detergent. An encylopedia of chart patterns, eh? Flags, pennants, head & shoulders (also one helluva shampoo) double bottoms, triple tops, etc etc, etc. Do, eh, chart patterns resolve with predictabilty? Apparently they do for Zanger...
  5. efficiency

    Peter Schiff: Greece better of than the US

    Naw, the difference between the US and Greece is we have artificially LOW short term rates (but yet the steepest yield curve of all time). Or, in the US, we can rightly use the phrase "imported olives".
  6. efficiency

    Strong stocks

  7. efficiency

    Where do fractional shares come from?

    wow (lower case). A company's outstanding shares (not to be confused with authorized shares or secondary offerings) fluctuates every month. Options to key individuals would be one example. ESOP's another. Buy backs yet another. All controlled by the stock's registrar. Likewise...
  8. efficiency

    Greece

    Default may not be the issue, but rising cost of capital is hard to deny. Obviously has bearing on existing debt on all points of their yield curve and, perhaps more importantly, ........................ future funding.
  9. efficiency

    What's wrong with this edge?

    Bit of a skewed risk/reward ratio. One stop out offsets five of those.......eh..............winning trades. Speaking only on my own behalf, I'm more interested in making money than being "right". The latter is merely a by-product.
  10. efficiency

    Buffett Demands Finance Law Help Berkshire

    He didn't start out in rags. His father was a US Senator, which kinda explains why he went to high school in DC. and a fondness for the Washington Post. He had amassed $10,000 by graduation. In 1948 dollars translates to what? Hence, there's no rags to go back to. Even if there were, with...
  11. efficiency

    Market Psychology

    Probably hasn't for a self-professed failed trader. Sour grapes. Or is it trolling? Ask any carpenter or mechanic about the right tool for the job The T&A (not to be confused with tits & ass) for a trending market is different than in an oscillating or choppy market. Shifting gears...
  12. efficiency

    Great wall of china project in us, kill two birds with one stone?

    A lot of truth in that. But it isn't just the sunbelt. Beef cutting in Colorado, Sugar beet fields of Nebraska. Somebody ought to work on the Dept. of Immigration. Correct me if I'm wrong, but weren't all the pilots in the 9-11 event here legally. ATM's are bi-lingual...
  13. efficiency

    Jamba Juice on the launch pad for take off!

    5% isn't big money. IF it is, then you have an inordinately large position size. A reflection of greed rather than acumen. There's a distinction between a one trick pony and replicating the 5% result over and over and over again. Repetition breeds confidence. A loose analogy is...
  14. efficiency

    quote all bears need to read.

    In 1987, James Baker gave a speech. In Germany. On an autumn weekend. Should have been a non-event. Specialist(S) had a alibi to gap down just about everything material. I think there's a clue there somewhere.
  15. efficiency

    quote all bears need to read.

    Rumor has it Keynes used to trade currencies from his bed. I don't know about that but Keysian economics has created many of the holes mentioned. Spending our way to prosperity. Wait 'til you get your tax bill next year. What "we" need is a catalyst. Iceland wasn't it. Greece isn't...
  16. efficiency

    Jamba Juice on the launch pad for take off!

    Yes , but a LOT of money was made on Krispy Kreme (and TASR). Come to think of it, so was there lots of moola on ZZZ Best.
  17. efficiency

    Stocks at new all-time highs

    Arthur Cutten was a WHEAT kinda guy rather than equities. But, he did pay for the iron fence around the entire cemetery he's buried in. Nice touch. There are flaws in market cap-weighted indices (more pronounced with only 30 rather than 500 issues), but isn't there ALSO a flaw in weighing...
  18. efficiency

    quote all bears need to read.

    Platitude. Stocks bottom in unisom but top one by one. Pareto principle: 80% of the price move comes in the last 20% of the time. Volatility is quiet preceding moves and expands as they exhaust. Volatility is more predictable than price. It won't be fertile until the # of NYSE 52...
  19. efficiency

    quote all bears need to read.

    Confucius say: "Man with hole in pocket feel cocky all day". Bulls are quite cocky but there are lots of holes out there. Just waiting to be exploited. Each day is one day closer.
  20. efficiency

    What do these studies mean for Monsanto CORN

    You need to work on your grammar (and maybe just maybe stick with one moniker) in order for me to take you seriously. You don't know jack shit about corn or agronomy. Yet alone fertiilization and irrigation. Princely portion feeds livestock, both beef and pork. It's where your...
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