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In Los Angeles, the market didn't even peak until mid 2006. An average home in jan 2004 was around 210k, that same home was about 598k in mid 2006. The area I'm watching went from 405k to 996k in that same period. Today it looks like the average home has really only dropped by at most 10k...

or... you could have bought Apple about 1 year go and lost 3% :) I agree though - Buy and Hold takes patience... my only point was that it definitely has as large drawdowns as many more liquid trading strategies.

Things about homes: When I bought my house my mortgage brokers said I had the highest credit score he'd ever seen. Interestingly enough - all the things I'd heard you needed to increase a credit score - loans being paid off etc. I had nothing, never leased a car or took one loan out in my...

I think Buy and Hold has an undue reputation for being a conservative strategy. Buy and Hold can have huge drawdowns and depending on what you buy - you could sink entirely. If you bought Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT) fifteen years ago, I'm sure you'd be sitting on thousands of...

This thought / challenge was inspired by the Tradestation software fee requirement but then became a reall curiousity of strategy. Only bother with this if you like puzzles of sorts otherwise it will just annoy you. If you had to trade 5000 shares at 1 penny per share with the goal...

Welcome back - I've read a lot of your posts since you've been gone. I came in after you left... ...I was wondering if you ever collected your indicators and strategies into collections like "equity intraday" "equity daily" etc. Most of the threads I've read with you get so long and...

I'm currently using tradestation and found it's Easy Language very easy to learn. I've done a little bit of css scripting, a tiny bit of javascripting and in the past had done very limited programming. I've only tried a few other options and liked it the best. Neoticker also seems to have...

The first time I started trading was back in 2000 (a bumpy year unlike 1999). I found that my weakness as a trader was that I had no... um... well, lets say confidence and know what I mean. I could figure out trades on paper, I knew what I should do, but I carried too much fear and wished I...

But so I understand... you said that your intraday strategies are NOT working? Yet all your strategies are intraday? Sometimes with the future traders I wonder if the random attritian factor is why you can have a site like worldcupadvisor with a handful of guys making 100% (with like 40%...

In my limited testing thus far I have definitely found the intraday much more difficult to develop for. A huge phenomenon I've also found is that (using tradestation), once you enable searching intraday data - that even on a daily chart, your system profit is curtailed (presumably because...

Is it a common phenomenon to have a harder time programming on the shortside? Also - I'm working in tradestation right now and someone said that you can't short with them.... now, people say a lot of things, but I figured I'd ask if they really were super limited with shorting before I found...

I've been quiet for a while because I've been doing mass studying on trading systems based on forum recommendations. I have a question though. Neural Networks. Is this a valuable tool for the people who have successful trading or is it only good in theory? I don't hear a lot about them...

Thanks so much for fantastic answers. This has been extremely helpful and encouraging. There seems to be, if not consensus, some common ideas here. I'm still reading if anyone wants to add more. I'm working on my first system right now through tradestation. I have ANOTHER question...

All of this information is helpful Much more optomistic than three to five years as well. Are you guys (and anyone else who answers this) mostly writing your own code from scratch (or from open source) or using popular applications like amibroker, tradestation, strategy runner, or neoticker...

I've been discussing my efforts for building a trade system with a couple people more than others and it dawned on me that both people say that it took about five years before their program worked so that they were very happy. It was about 3 years before it was useable. I'm wondering if...

No problem in reading - I'm finishing up my fourth trading book this month already. Maybe I'll have to put one of these in front of the other... .which of the ones you mention here would be the FIRST one to read? All but the tradestation one are at the local library even, nice.

I've not received tradestation yet (I have amibroker now and tradestation on the way). Is there any way to account for slipage in these programs or is that always going to be a problem? (They seem to include commissions.)

Spectra, you really ought to put your money into etrade, you can get like 5.05%.... wait did I miss the point? :) Seriously though, if that were really money being played forward, sign me up, I'll take it. 400 on 5000 per month? i'm yours.

kiwi_trader - thanks for your follow up posts - I really appreciate it. jack hershey - I think I understood most of what you wrote. :) You said "You can see that the sector of cut rate commissions and electronic platforms is designed to sweep service profits from a broader and broader...

Assuming you can identify some decent support/resistance lines - it's the ambiguity which would require additional rules. You'll want to add some sort of confirmation as well. If you leave your support on low volume, does that count or is it just about to turn around and head back to your...