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the way that graph looks to me makes me think of how decieving constant vol assumptions can be.. Wrangles/diagonal ratios seem like a great idea to me to get long vol.. but there something suspicious about that graph.. like it looks to good! haha i'm long quite a few backspreads right now...

my best advice is.. that if your believing that fb possibly could make you money with that fly spread you need to pull out a spreadsheet and calculate the standard price action of the stock recently and see how difficult it would be for it to move 5 dollars by the end of the week and put your...

this little read here from the book i was talking about explains alot With the appropriate infrastructure of databases and related software in place, it is possible to construct a library of calendar- based price-change charts. Results can be tabulated by day, week, month, quarter, or any...

my impressions is if your looking to avoid getting into the technical aspect of constructing indicators, graphing things in a non typical way.. your gonna have to learn to use something more powerful.. excel combined with access is pretty powerful..

see there ya go... the creation of a reality in which he feels guilt was the entire show.. i'm sure alot of people bought it.. you know alot of people generally i see end up having a chip on their shoulder.. They are the ones that feel that everyone is out to get them or just generally selfish...

have you really learned the in's and outs of Excel? i've just gotton this book Microsoft Excel for Stock and Option Traders: Build Your Own Analytical Tools for Higher Returns and was going to dig through it and see what i could get out of it.. my IB data isn't always available and...

thats exactly what Mandlebrot says! have you read any of his books? fractals and scaling in finance? or the Misbehavior of markets?

this is a cool thread.. i've gotton alot out of reading (taleb) fooled by randomness and as well by the misbehavior of markets by Mandelbrot... i also like Soros's idea of fallibility.. it seems that everyone starts trading makes a few dollars and then thinks themselves deserving of a nobel...

so let me ask you this.. why would you use the ETF differential in the front and back terms rather then the actual futures? and when you utilize a hedge ratio to keep from the front term blowing you up.. what are you using to hedge? I'm fairly new but getting to be fairly well read.. On...

more like he will go to prison and everyone there will worship him for screwing so many people over! people take pride in that stuff.. Madoff was quoted in saying " i carried those people for so many years" as if he was doing them a favor.. this people are sociopaths.. i find it a bit...

as weird as it sounds.. the guy doesn't want to respond to anyone he is using this thread as his journal.. no sense it makes.. he will tell you he is gonna put you on ignore.. that will be his answer

on the real note.... i love hard back books... I'll never get over actually owning the book, being able to go over to the shelf and flip through the pages.. i like to look back at my shelf with all the books on it and still realize that theres no way to tell whats going to happen next! life...

haha hell yeah silly man jk

Do it.. Some of those FBI guys are so cool.

i don't get what your trying to say? shit will hit the fan because of my remark?

theres alot of Augen's books on there.. thanks!

nice i just downloaded it.. the dedication goes "To Lisa—the most independent person I know— who taught me never to rely on anyone for anything. I only made it this far because of you." that just sounds so bad... i've got people i can rely on.. depressing statement...

i like to read.. so i ordered the book used, and quite a few others.. I wouldn't doubt what your saying.. most traders have some element of believing there doing better then they are.. talking about their wins more then losses.. ETC. i've just watched a theoretical straddle 2 hours before...

i wasn't talking about the VXX compared to the VIXY i was actually talking about the VIXY compared directly to the VIX index itself... comparing the vxx to the vixy won't tell me much about the roll over loss due to contango.. i hope i didn't write my originally posts wrong.. this is...

well i'm going to have to really get the contango roll over math down.. cause this trade seems like a time bomb.. back about 2 -2 1/2 months ago the vix was at 14 and change and the vixy was trading at 34 at that point.. so now the vix is at 16 and change and the vixy is trading at 28 and...