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Because, in general, people who post on here aren't all that, um... savvy. Is there a chance of no cut? Sure. But there are two big problems with that: Bernanke has people to answer to, and some of them are dumb as rocks. More importantly, in my mind, the effective rate is tracking 5.00...

Inflation background: oil, gold, food (wheat!) soaring. Economic outlook: 2Q GDP revised up to +4%. ISM numbers strong, correlating to roughly +3% 3Q. Trade deficit improving. Jobs picture cloudy--certainly not strong, but latest negative number mostly a cause of unexpected drop in...

Because the spu is +1%? Maybe by about 1 in 1000.

Shill much?

Dude did you forget your meds this morning?

(95.175-94.75)/(95.25-94.75)=85% Sorry, I was looking at some other stuff and misspoke. And you can use Oct for this (and it's better) because Sep has half a month at the old rate if there's a change, and Oct's meeting is on the 31st. So October, assuming no change between meetings...

ZQV07 trading 95.175. Assuming no moves between meetings and relatively tight tracking of the target rate (which I think will be the case after a cut on Sep 18), this is giving a 50 bps cut on Sep 18 a probability of 70%. Discuss.

I don't know which mini gold you're looking at, but YG on eCBOT is 50 up during the day session.

Yes, said it backwards. Too late to edit.

You're not catching what I'm throwing. You can't say that without defining a standard deviation for the appropriate time. You need a volatility input to do that. You can only know that volatility input after the fact. So your statement is a tautology. BTW, it is true that closing at or...

Not the right question. In order to answer what you've asked, you'd have to correctly guess the volatility of the underlying GOING FORWARD. If you can figure out how to do that, there's a $10B hedge fund with your name on it. So the right question is, what is the correct strike to sell so...

lol, so true

Most (99%) of the people on both sides of these threads are fucking morons. Stock_trad3r, you said "buy stocks that go up" is all you need to know. What the fuck do you care that the market has dropped 3%? Why do you even watch the market at all? As for the 50 people who just spend all...

lol trading must not be going too well, eh?

This makes me laugh.

I'm serious. I've done a lot of interviewing for banks, funds, prop shops, etc. You don't have to have BEEN profitable. You have to be a good bet to GET THERE.

Losing money is good education. Put it on your resume, and talk about it in interviews.

Opentick is very much a "get what you pay for" kind of proposition.

Should I laugh or cry at this?

www.quickscreentrading.com I know the dev posts here, and the platform looks very feature-rich. Anyone have comments?