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i asked my broker some time ago similar question: -Why does the uncertainty of new crop planting is more bullish for old crop futures then a new crop futures? -It would be technically bullish both crops but if the market thinks new crop supply is at risk, then the old becomes much more valuable...

interesting situation: 3rd time someone bought/sold near 500-600 contraсts @hezf-g two of these were @12:59(chicago) and days before there was kinda big volume too also @ 12:59

sold hez-g again (previously i've got stopped out) @ -3.025

technically it looks like a good point to sell kcz-h spread

i closed it @-13.5 on friday. Kinda long flat and bearish environment. Also spread usually rises something like 1 month, so the time was up.

fnd should be reference point

sold ngx-f @-0,273

These are all reports from them that i've googled maybe the fundamental reason of the rise of the spread is the decreasing number of farrows and pig crop? If you look at last 5 years you will see that the spread isn't high. Also this year other spreads (e.g. HEV-HEZ) were high too. But...

i didnt get that too, so i just googled all available reports from them

I found out several old reports here https://www.google.by/search?q=nopa+crush+report+pff&oq=nopa+crush+report+pff&aqs=chrome..69i57.9207j0j4&client=ms-android-sonymobile&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8#q=site:spesend.net++nopa+crush+report+pdf Cattle on feed are from usda quick stats database

my thoughts about meal spread (in Russian ¯\_(ツ)_/¯) http://profitseasons.ru/blog/analytics/1218.html

Wonder why analogical topic about energy trades isn't as active as this one.

i got stopped out in wheat for 1.5 cents. sold hez-g a few days ago @ -4.1 and now it is at the same levels gfv-f has a very big margin comparing to it volatility. Added to canola @469.7

why did u buy it, when seasonally it's down something like 10th of october? Why don't you buy, e.g. ZMZ-H? It's also near big support, but up seasonality is from the end of september?

nice exit:) got stopped out @ 4.850. later wanted to reenter near 5.6, but got freaking margin call that day and because of stupid limitations i wasn't able to open new orders that day, so i watched it flying to the moon w/o me also added @ -14.50 to mgex spread. Wait it near -10 yep, it...

it's cool:) got stopped out @ 4.5. Not the best exit, i wanted to exit near 8...10, but not the worst. I wanna buy near this support. It will be great if there is a fake breakout of it like the last time.

going to sell CLZ15-2*CLF16+CLG16. Seasonally it falls in the beg of october (because of refinery outages) few (2-5) weeks after crack spread has made a high and has started to decline. This year outages are in seasonal time But high in crack spread happened a month ago. And crack spread...

sold canola @ 474.7 there were some harvest halts coz of rain, but the weather will improve

bought gasoil v-z @-4.25, one more buy limit @ -5.00 good seasonality + good support

I trade all kind of spreads that i can afford for 10 months :). My acc isn't big, I am amator and trade only with my money. Risk per trade is something like 5%, but sometimes i outstay and get 10-20% losses . I'm in profit after these 10 months, but my track record sucks :). My holding period is...