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Yes it did. The first 15 minutes largely overlapped so chances were higher there would be 2-sided trading. Here we are almost 30min to the close and I see a trading range below a trading range. The move down was after a BO failure.

The first 15 minutes RTH will typically show you if there's going to be a trend from the open or broader 2-sided trading in the MES.

If you're not sure if you can follow your rules on game day, why not continue to test & drill them into reflex in practice? You can accomplish a lot/answer a lot of your own questions trading playback on fast forward.

I don't do this for a living yet, but 50% for retracements and projections have definitely been a sweet spot for me as well vs fib numbers. It's not always exact, but close is close enough for me.

...or technical analysis and probabilities

To the OP, I only trade intraday and set targets based on the type of day. My decision-making is based on the first 15min of PA until proven wrong. Range/Trending range day: I focus on 1:1 trades in the first third of the day. OHLC & pivot tests for range targets later in the day. Tests of the...

Context is more important than one basic rule. As a beginner, you're going to want that at an absolute minimum, but you're going to lose a lot more than you win just going long at a first breakout attempt. Wait for the test of the extreme and a good signal bar before going long; you should...

There were 13 consecutive bear bars prior to that bull entry under your falling moving average(s), no strong break of the trendline, and there wasn't a clear exhaustion bar with a break of the trend channel line. Don't fight the trend.

You have a higher probability of a countertrend trade working out if you wait until the test of the extreme after a strong break of the trendline.

Here's a few... - buying at the top of a trading range as price attempts to break out of the top before waiting for follow-through (same for selling at the bottom) because you don't want to miss the move - trading countertrend in a strong grinding trend that constantly looks like it's about to...

Yes, it was worth it. You probably won't like my answer: Go long on a breakout-pullback at the moving average in a strong bull trend. Be patient and look for the 2-5 reasonable swings of the day where your profit target is at least equal to your risk (scalp part and swing the rest).

Without going through a good portion of the work it does feel that he's straddling a fence (especially in the first book). It isn't until further into the work that there is more explanation around those if/then scenarios. To me, it felt like a catch-22...he basically outlines all of the...

There is a lot of color commentary, but I don't think people read long enough to get to the guidance portion; Book 3 - Chapter 24: The Best Trades, putting it all together. Outlines everything. Regarding only commentary in his trading room, no idea. I haven't joined the chat room (nor do I plan...

That's an understandable view if you only review a small sample of the written work. When I first started the books I thought it was ridiculous that everything was a contradiction, how could everything be given some made-up probability value (based on what?), what the hell was a High 1 2 3 etc...

Unless you're in a race with someone for shits and giggles, don't rush it. The books are dense for good reason and it's going to take a good long while to get through them if you decide to stick with it. What I found best was to just take a picture of the charts on my phone so I didn't have to...

You can say that again! It's definitely been a good breaker of bad habits and improved risk management though.

I would say hold off on re-reading the first book until you get through all three. I'm working my way through the series and book 2 is where things have been starting to click more. There is thankfully a lot of concept repetition, and then in book 2 more blanks start to get filled in; it felt...

Small pullback bull trend? I assumed after the break of prev high and bull channel ended. Also, just wanted to add my thanks for this thread. Took me about a month to get through it all/practice but it's been enlightening and has helped me turn a corner.