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  1. J

    The ACD Method

    pdf
  2. J

    The ACD Method

    This was a daily SPX setup today for ACD...hope you can read the PDF, dont have a scanner...
  3. J

    The ACD Method

    mav, why does fish use the same A and C values in stocks...but not in commodities? ive wondered this for the past year after reading, re-reading, and watching his vids (i cant figure it out)? when it comes to stocks i'll just use 25% of the ATR(30) (for both the A and C values): this is...
  4. J

    The ACD Method

    Mav, i'll catch catch you at Ceres on thurs or Fri (if u aint busy), let me know i'll be on LaSalle these next few days with some CBOE option guys. Was long the aug1300Calls, sold em around $11 after we traded back below todays (7:30ct) OR on ES...and flipped and got long some 1250 Sept...
  5. J

    The ACD Method

    Mav, 1. I cant believe your bonds are rallying so much! 2. The 2/10 spread keeps flattening...down to 248bp now! that is the big hedge fund trade now IMO 3. ES/Gold/CL (risk on trade)...wow what a reversal day! 4. USD/JPY...Intervention???? As for my option position, closed out the...
  6. J

    The ACD Method

    time to just wait and see...we'll sell some, watching 1309.50 ES...
  7. J

    The ACD Method

    Yep...I was sitting on Lake Michigan, trying to relax, at around noon today, reading the twitter headlines, and i just had this sick feeling of death in my gut that spooz would be up big come 5pm and i should already be long now....
  8. J

    The ACD Method

    Added to my SPX puts a few hours ago - BOT 1 AUG 1280P @ 20.50 when $spx traded back up to 1300 and failed (that was just below the SPY PP Range)...so currently long 5 1250P and 1 1280P. I added with the 1280 in case we retrace for the rest of the day and trade back down to the 200day MA...
  9. J

    The ACD Method

    Mav, your going to have a nice lead on that bond trade...i couldnt believe my eyes when i woke up and the 10 year was back down to 287! And the 2/10 curve is down to 248bp!
  10. J

    The ACD Method

    i think we can just sell some 6e here (4266 )with a 20 tick give or take stop 1:15AMCT
  11. J

    The ACD Method

    interesting...when it comes to %rates; throughout the day i'll just watch the 2/10spread...ill sell anything under 260bp right now...i am watching the italians, if they go over 7, i'll be looking for a place to buy USD$
  12. J

    The ACD Method

    Dont worry about specific levels/times....you need to just understand about the whole concept of ACD....any level can be an A level (but it must be a point in time that someone, buyer or seller, is pushing the market (and getting fills aggresively - they dont care that they are paying up to buy...
  13. J

    The ACD Method

    I ended up watching MCO at the open, but that thing just didnt move (wasnt volitile enough for me), and i think it could be a 2-3 days before see a major move....ill just wait to be a seller once it breaks 35 (seems like Res on the chart). Instead ended up looking at options on the...
  14. J

    The ACD Method

    i'll be playing this one the next week...just read ken shaleen's book on options, i might try to play this one with options, i got about 7k of throw away capital to experiment with the options mkt for some MCO trades...I'll keep you updated on my ACD analysis and trades these next few...
  15. J

    The ACD Method

    Keep MCO on your radar, look at todays actions/daily chart...Marks got a chapter in his book about those type of reversal patterns that span over multiple days (forgot what he calls it, but outside reversal day patterns that engulf multiple days prior) ....keep watching that one, your going to...
  16. J

    The ACD Method

    This thread has kinda died the past month....hows everyone been doing with ACD? does anyone motify their ACD levels now that its the start of Q3 - instead of using Jan levels, using some July levels on a macro basis (start of Q3). Interesting action in the energy markets since the release...
  17. J

    not a bad way to spend 10k

    WTF....You can attend a party at the playboy mansion for $1k/ticket? you got a link for that? Party at the Playboy mansion; or risk that cash trading Mid East Oil futures at 2AM?!?!?!....the hell with trading.
  18. J

    When mobile how do you keep updated with the emini quotes ?

    CQG has a mobile app, I know some ppl that use that....I think its free if you use the CQG trader/client
  19. J

    High probability of Market Crash early next week

    QE3 will happen in some form or another to keep the yield curve in the US steep…we need a steep curve in order to keep this house of cards rolling….Bernanke bailed out the banks with Tarp, and in order for the govt to get that money back (and not sustain a loss) they need a steep curve...
  20. J

    curve flattening

    dumb mother...its been a few weeks....what are you looking at, seems like curve keeps flattening...im watching 260bp(on the downside, 270upside) on the 2/10...the I-Banks kinda look good down here though, think QE3 is just going to be some way to keep the curve steep?...that would be good for...
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