Search results

  1. B

    Call me crazy...but look at my hypothesis

    Sounds interesting but calendar years doesn't do much for me. You would have to chart each point and correlate it to a daily graph of the S & P then see what prediction power it has.
  2. B

    How is Probability of expiring on TOS calculated?

    I've run a bunch of them on tos and prob of expiring is always within a point of 1 minus delta. Probability of touching is always within a point of 1 minus (two times delta). I just keep an eye on delta now which is close enough for government work.
  3. B

    Apple earnings January 24th.

    Just did some 385/390 bull put spreads.
  4. B

    Apple earnings January 24th.

    I've avoided playing any earnings but I'm thinking about a 1 contract atm or ntm credit spread with apple this afternoon that would expire otm with the weekly on Friday. Looks like call volume is much higher than puts indicating more trader interest. Likewise call premiums seem better than the...
  5. B

    SPX/ES Market Outlook

    I'd concur ET. I've been placing bear call spreads on the spx and the rut for this week. The cycler is prediciting the s&p to remain very overextended for his future forecast but as usual I believe he is wrong. I'm banking on the s&p to pull back this week. This is the first time in the 268...
  6. B

    Any thoughts on T Rowe retirement funds?

    First off you have to value the separate funds for the periods they represent. I justdid it for our JPMorgan account. The funds line up in a progression of high growth/high risk and then go the other way to low growth/low risk. For the young and new people in the 401K, they start out at a...
  7. B

    HAL option expiration.

    They will exercise to collect a penny. That is there business. Penny here, a penny there, twenty bux here, it all adds up. They were probably also trading those shares on the aftermarket as well to make a little more.
  8. B

    is it time?

    Sounds similar to my last blackjack system. Start at $5 and add $5 with each win till $35 or so and then stay there till I lose. Then only bet $5 after a loss. Keeps me from going in the hole too far unless I start off bad then it is time to quit. I also change tables whenever an oriental...
  9. B

    Help me choose a news service

    I haven't watched Bloomberg much. Which one has more cleavage? CNBC has a little with emphasis on "little".
  10. B

    Just starting out

    Day Trading for Dummies has some useful information.
  11. B

    Help me choose a news service

    If you really get really lonely, you can get cnbc streaming video and audio for free. Comes with TOS/Thinkorswim. Open a paper account with 20 minute delayed market info for free with TD ameritrade or open a regular account with them so you can get real time market data. No funding needed to...
  12. B

    Dow Transports Weekly Chart Looks like Big Bear Flag

    Sep 11 to Jan 12 looks about like Jul 10 to Oct 10. Kinda bullish if you ask me. Similar to the DJI chart. I think factors are different a some kind of downturn is coming but when and how big, who knows. About the time it starts to dip a little like in 2010, then QE3 may save it.
  13. B

    After markets and pre-markets

    Thanks guys. Figured out I can track stock prices overnight in the futures trader tab of TOS. Got my bidu options sold but less than yesterday.
  14. B

    After markets and pre-markets

    Thanks. Is it the ECN trading that causes stock prices to gap up or down in the morning and how does the /ES (s&P500 mini) effect a stock to get a gap up or down?
  15. B

    After markets and pre-markets

    Hi, I've been noticing in the evening when going over charts that many stocks keep trading until 7 pm cst. I've noticed in the past the pre-market trading but didn't worry about it. Can anyone tell me who is doing it and where this evening and morning trading is taking place? I also tried...
  16. B

    SPX/ES Market Outlook

    Decided to sell some Jan 12 spx 1315/1320 bear calls earlier when it was at 1298 and the premium mark was .82. Then the spx dropped. Ended up with a .55 premium at 1293. Have more trying for .60 which is at the mark but sometimes I have trouble getting filled at the mark. With spx at 1298...
  17. B

    SPX/ES Market Outlook

    Well, I'm sitting on the sidelines for a while this week as I'm not sure where we are going. Typical pattern so far of a gap up in the S&P from the futures and premarkets (and I don't know where this premarket trading takes place) and then it ranges with little chop during the live trading day...
  18. B

    Stock Model

    KUJ +92 BB -74
  19. B

    Stock Model

    KUJ, KU Jayhawks? BB, Baylor Bears?
  20. B

    ... mine's completely dead, too! ... not a single quote! ...

    The market is not even open and my accounts show less than they did on Friday? Darn, can't even leave for the weekend to watch the Jayhawks play without losing!! Go Hawks!!
Back
Top