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Here is a more concrete example from last week: 32 consecutive round trip trades total gain was 6.0 points or an average of .1875 points per trade the standard deviation was .31 (the total of the squared gains or losses was 101.34, the square root of which is 10.06. Divide that by...

The trades will be short term and 99% of the returns will be -10 to + 10 points, so I don't think a 500% outlier will happen.

After fuckin around in options for 10 years I am dipping my toe into trading the ES (I started a thread about a week and half ago re my first foray) Question - I am not a statistics major and I would like to find out some basic confidence levels. After 100 trades what confidence level does...

It would probably rally

I think I got lucky by not trying to manage 'mean reversion' during the last 30 minutes (300pt dow selloff). I'm going to continue with it next week, and I KNOW I will have to accept losing trades (and not letting a small loser turn into a big one). I think I am aiming for small profits on...

The previous post would indicate another one for the 'we hit the bottom' A post with all kinds of reasons for the idea he have hit the bottom is one for the 'we're nowhere near a bottom' The inevitable rally will come out of nowhere. JMO

Here it is:

Thanks

Here ya go:

It's terrorism. Shorting the SP futures.

I had to take my mind off watching the rest of my portfolio fall apart so I started day-trading the ES today. Been contemplating it for a while though. 5 trades: +5.0 +1.5 +1.25 +1.75 +1.75 Just a small pain ease though. It seems there is a concerted effort to short the S&P...

The money that was shorting the financial moved to shorting the SP500 via the futures. And here we are!

?

Pay him for the pizza.

LOL

this should have remained a 1 post thread. His point was that you might have gotten KILLED with the 'safe' and income producing cc strategy

A much worse number was priced in.

Didn't get to steal WB

I actually like the QQQQ as an investment right now. The tech companies have very little debt, and great balance sheets. The idea of cashflow without borrowing is going to be strong IMO.

Changing the immigration law for the next year. Open this idea up the world. You can become a US citizen if you: 1. Have no criminal record 2. Have to buy a house in the US for a minimum of $200,000, no resell within 2 years. US citizenship after 2 years. I am Canadian and I would do it.