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you must be selling the teenies and those 5% losers must be whoppers. or maybe you're not profitable 95% of the time.

yes you count your delta's and do whatever it takes to become neutral. but it ain't gonna stay that way. if you're a mean-reversion trader then maybe that's OK

which ones? did you consider the dividend on the underlying? when you sell a put you are taking a synthetic long position in the underlying, and that means you'll collect the dividend somehow, and increased premium is how.

OP - well that's just like your opinion, man (hey Atti, I'm still hangin in there, remember my thread of year in 2008? just been managing beta.....ha kidding. i've been pretty happy with my trading, your posts learnt me some)

Sounds like your pride has been slightly wounded. Who said Mav's opinion is gospel? It's a just a well considered opinion supported mostly with anecdotal evidence. But Mav's reasoning is sound IMO. If an IC could offer a 10% risk free annual return then the operator would truly be a master...

I was here a couple years ago, spouted off on some great boneheaded ideas, then disappeared from ET. I have crawled back from the abyss though. Awesome learning experience though. I'd be happy to furnish a few details. Nothing teaches like big mistakes. Fortunately they weren't fatal...

I sell the weeklies, buy the monthlies (mini-ES) Best, Beating

I'm glad you weren't serious about these 5 ideas. The satire was so thick I thought I was reading theonion. Had to laugh though. Haven't read that many boneheaded ideas in one post in a long time.

Thanks Do serials trade up to 4:15 est Friday? (expiring into the next futures contract as you said earlier) vs 4:15 Thurs for quarterlies, which would expire into the 9:30 Friday AM print of the future expiring that day?

Re: Serials, Do they expire into the next (Dec) futures contract or 500 shares of SPY?

Pardon my ignorance but what time does the options expire for the ES mini on Oct 16, 2009?

Funniest thing I've read in a long time. THANKS

Michael Scott is in Scranton managing a Dunder Mifflin office.

ah yes, the "custom" feature makes all the difference, but I still can't get the frequency less than daily. I want to see what happened during random days.

I looked there, but I can't figure out how to pull up individual days.

Just looking for daily charts of the SP500. Any help appreciated.

ya better check your math there pardner

You are correct and I am attempting to take the volatility into my algorithm. The trades are quite short term. My positions can be measured in minutes (or less).

Awesome links! I will do 100-200 trades during the next week and plug the results into the confidence intervals applet and see what happens.