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  1. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    funny you mention that..i just finished my initial analysis of Google. It appears as though the earnings are a little harder to hit this time. My calculations show that goog needs to report somewhere around $2.104 billion in revenue, or a 33.24% increase over last qtr. In the last 3 qtrs...
  2. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    I would like to believe that I did LISTEN to your first post...it sounded like it was impossible to make accurate predictions, yet there are thousands of paid professionals who do so. I still do not understand why you think it is a lame idea. Obviously its not supposed to be some miracle...
  3. R

    How do you pay yourself?

    I ask it in the hopes of someday making enough to have monthly withdraws...and any bonuses...almost like a hedge fund:p
  4. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    may i ask how you approached it and your strategy?
  5. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    I believe professional analysts use fudamental data from financial reports that are available to the general public. lmao could you give an example? somtimes "poor guidance" on good reports can be predicted...def. not always. but please look below... correct. but that doesnt even come...
  6. R

    How do you pay yourself?

    Since we are all systematic in our trading, I would like to know if anyone has a systematic payroll to themselves or how they determine what to withdraw for living purposes. Obviously, it depends on the size of your capital. Do you withdraw a certain % of profits? of fixed amounts like a salary?
  7. R

    Money Management

    not sure what you are attempting to prove? If you have enough funds to sustain short-term fluctuations, both would have a long term expectancy of zero... I wouldn't play either:p
  8. R

    fundamentals on XMSR?

    So I believe XMSR will beat 4th Qtr expectations by a large amount, and thus I will go long. Fundamentals (can you check/argue these for me?): [all numbers are in thousands, except EPS or otherwise noted] 4th Qtr EPS estimate: -0.89 Shares Outstanding: 222.21M Thus, XMSR is expected...
  9. R

    Better to Predict...or React?

    My (current) trading strategy revolves around analyzing (predicting) the accuracy of EPS estimates before announcment. This would be the only case that I could think of where it is better/more rewarding to predict than to react. So is it right to predict that the EPS "prediction" is wrong...
  10. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    70 views and no help? no one must like to trade on fundamentals on this site:p
  11. R

    Earnings Surprise trading

    Does anyone focus heavily on anticipating and trading on earnings announcements? What would you think about analyzing fundamentals to determine the probability of beating the estimates, volitility of surprises, and using some options for leverage. Would this be a sound strategy? I have...
  12. R

    Bear market ahead and 14 more years of range trading? The next weeks will show!

    interesting.... i wonder why the 75/100 multiples? so next stop is 75000/110000?!? lol although to keep an open mind, i have read that by the year 2016 that there will be an actual space travel industry. (if i recall correctly, an average of about 100,000 people will travel to space...
  13. R

    NKE play?

    Nike is down almost 2% right now because one of their jets has landing gear problems and is circling Portland. From what I have read, officials say that "there is a high chance of landing the plane safely as there has never been any major injuries from faulty landing gear" Do you think...
  14. R

    19 and counting...

    lol...if you want to make it clear...then technically he only asked what broker(s) is good for swing trading
  15. R

    19 and counting...

    1) Find a broker you are comfortable with as far as service, information, reliabilities,fees... all have a different combination of each. 2) As much as you can...my advice is that when you "jump in", you should feel that you have the ability to teach a full course on whatever style trading...
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    19 and counting...

    I believe he asked about swing trading...not daytrading. In such a case, the 25k barrier is not involved if [The NASD definition under rule 2520, defines a pattern day trader as "any customer who executes four or more day trades within five business days, provided the number of day trades is...
  17. R

    GM question

    ok i guess i don't understand the fundamentals that lead to some stock rises when a company goes bankrupt and debt is erased.
  18. R

    GM question

    but i'm asking in a post-bankruptcy situation, LT. In theory, if the company was "liquidated" each share would be worth ~$39. no? so i'm asking, shouldnt this be a perfect time to buy for long-term? The only thing that I could think of that would hinder the long term, is that GM tries to...
  19. R

    GM question

    Is it true in assuming that if GM goes through with bankruptcy and the gov. bails them out that the stock price should move up a good deal because their book value is around $38-39 per share?? Or am I putting too much emphasis on BV?
  20. R

    Can SIRI and XMSR stay alive?

    i subscribe to SIRI and love it too ... funny though that I think it wont last incredibly long..at least at the current subscription prices. edit: i think i'm at $11.95/mo
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