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90% sure he is legit as a nat gas trader. He does location spreads by scheduling pipelines, locking in a profit for transportation and then when he feels there is juice up or down in one location, he lets a bit of the spread unlocked for upside potential. He also stores underground when it is...

https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/article/2023/07/28/half-sales-generate-bullish-soybean

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/cargill-is-behind-big-trade-that-rattled-the-london-cocoa-market-1.1945386

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/copper-slump-will-give-way-to-record-buying-spree-citi-says-1.1930304

https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2456094-wtis-inclusion-in-brent-has-immediate-impact?backToResults=true

Just think about it : Copper is the main metal of the electrification of transport and the stocks are really low right now...If I was a long term outright commodity investor, I would probably buy it.

https://player.fm/series/goldman-sachs-exchanges/why-the-great-de-stocking-in-oil-and-commodities-could-pave-the-way-for-future-gains

Wheat balance sheets are going back to historical norms in the grand scheme of things( after large supply-to-use ratio years ), but KC wheat conditions and production will be terrible. The forward curve is wild. Be cautious there.

Don't know if it has already been posted, but this made my day.

A little bit of the two. Depends on the product. Some products you remove sizes. Other you add...

Manual. You just have to choose a market and watch the relevant tools for this market for a few months : Point and figure charts, Order book, T&S, volume...

Indeed. That's a fair point. I need to explore this. I also have scalping to mitigate long term losses in volatile times. Scalping became really easy on wheat for example.

I am still short ZO N/U on oats. Don't know about outright price.

For ag, Agritalk with Chip Flory. For energy, RBN blogcasts and Platts Podcasts.

Here is the kind of nasty spikes you are looking to avoid in increased volatility. With the size you need to put on these strategies, it can be hell to leg out as well.

Well...It turns out the day of the invasion was just an appetizer. On March 2nd, the day that Joe Vaclavik called "the great wheat spread disaster of 2022" on his podcast, I died. I made a daily loss 2 times larger than my biggest daily gain. All my perceptions of what calendar spreads were...

Manipulation by collusion.Exactly what they face. But their volume was actually a good chunk of the total during the drop. The plaintiff has lost 90 K, which is a joke. Really interested to see out it turns out...

This is the wildest market I have ever been part of...And I live off trading since '07. After a very profitable fall, I have just made my largest daily loss the day of the attack, which pretty much wiped out all my '22 gains... Friday, I started to climb back, but I have no idea what my P&L is...

Does your trading volume justifies leasing it ( sparing 175$ per month )?

Français aussi, mais vivant en Espagne. Je vis du trading des futs depuis 2007.