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Excellent post.

I see no possible market inefficiencies in forex other than those already exploited by Soros years ago. If you have any specific examples, let's discuss them. But arguing that there are unicorns does not mean there are actually.

Ninjatrader, Multicharts, Amibroker (good value), InvestorRT as already mentioned. As far a Quantopian, it may be good but I prefer to keep my ideas on my own server. There is no way of knowing what happens in web based services even if the onwers are credible. Besides, I don't like Python. Why...

Back-testing --> data-mining --> data-snooping --> random resuts --> losses --> out of the game Some ideas here

Finviz will do that for you for free: http://www.finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=111&f=exch_nyse,ta_pattern_headandshoulders&ft=3 From any such software package expect many false postitives.

Depends on the timeframe. For swing RSI, for trendfollowing MA. There are not many options out there. Most indicators are similar and all of them lag price activity.

And you call them systems? Sound like unsystems to me.:)

It is bad for option sellers:)

+1 Listen to Redneck...

yes, but the chances are less than those of winning a lottery jackpot.

Is this the 1% thread? :)

Pls let's do that. I'm trading for as long as I can remember and I've never heard of the "5 market types". I can think of up trending, down trending, mean-reverting, sideways but I may be misisng the fifth type.

The odds are not equal to the probability of a stock rising or falling by a certain amount but the expected gain for every dollar risked on the average. This is unknown is stock trading. You are seriously confused. You are confusing long-term investing (where the bias kicks in) with...

Like for example? I also heard someone saying there are ways to prove there are unicorns.... Trading is much harder than casino betting because the odds are unknown and can be much lower than what you think they are and usually are way lower... Any investor who saw his S&P 500 index...

Call it anything you want but you will have to do the hard work yourself....

We hear you. Please reply with just one "input indicator[s] that represents certain market conditions that is not dependent on the lookback period" I would like to see that because from the other stuff you wrote there appears to be some serious mixup of concepts. For example you wrote The...

Thanks! That's a good one.

"gamma loss"

Are you saying that you pay 1/10 pip spread? Through which broker?

+1 You should also consider the possibility that these authors did not understand what they popularized and they diid not care aanyways eebcause their objective was to sell books and courses. Trading is a non-ergodic process and expectation is the wrong metric to use.