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A poll like this is most useful if it yields definitely skewed results. If we had an 80/20 yes-crash vote we could perhaps extract some encouragement from this exercise but the numbers as they stand at this moment don't do much in terms of defining the situation. So far the poll seems to...

The K-winter is long overdue.

The "hot money" extracted from the dot-com crash was pretty liquid and came out in a relatively short time. Maybe this helped avert what could have been a depression. The money coming out of the real estate bust is moving a whole bunch more slowly and doesn't have any helpful focus...

The old joke: If you're attending an economics lecture and you understand the professor, you're not paying attention. I don't know awfully much about economics and I doubt that anybody knows enough about economics to be truly capable of making informed macroeconomic predictions, but it...

So far, according to the contrarian 75/25 formula, the numbers indicate a no-crash - but we need more votes.

Just keeping this thing visible. There's a lot of expertise here on ET; if we can get a hundred or so votes we'll have a meaningful indication of experts' sentiment.

No POV here. Just polling to see if we're anywhere near the contrarian's ratio. Comments welcome, of course.

No rate cut soon. If a rate cut were coming it would be telegraphed by GS and LEH. Note how the financials jumped up yesterday well in advance of the 300-point rise and today's "news" of a cut. Certain companies have a pipeline to the Fed. Amazing timing, eh what? Options...