Search results

  1. H

    Macro trading

    I think the US stock market is overheating and is due for some amount of pullback, and should start pricing in a certain probability of the toxic progressive policies, continued geopolitical tensions, and peaking global economy: SH Speaking of geopolitical tensions, I will re-enter the...
  2. H

    Macro trading

    Terminating uso, fxi, erus positions at market close today
  3. H

    Macro trading

    Didn't get around to posting last week's results, here they are:
  4. H

    Macro trading

    Keeping the FXI and USO positions for another week: FXI: expecting positive China retail sales data release next week USO: while Oil went back to the pre-escalation level, I think the probability of further shocks has increased, while the demand is holding steady I am now rotating out of ITA...
  5. H

    Macro trading

    View for this week - China will continue to stabilize due to the effects of the Phase I deal and PBoC easing - fxi Oil will continue to firm up due to geopolitical tensions - uso US defense sector will continue to firm up for the same reason - ita The allocations are 40%, 15%, 45% I am...
  6. H

    Macro trading

    Here are the results for the past two weeks: None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only
  7. H

    Macro trading

    Terminating fxi and xli positions today at market close
  8. H

    Macro trading

    Keeping fxi and xli for another week, as I believe the factors I cited last week are still at play.
  9. H

    Macro trading

    This week’s trades are: China (FXI) at 35% allocation – expecting additional lift this week on the back of the Phase 1 deal XLI (65%) – expecting positive data releases on US manufacturing Will be entering these shortly after the market open
  10. H

    Macro trading

    Here are the last week's results. Two of the funds happened to pay dividends last week, so I am including the dividend column. On the subject of dividends, at some point I'll start capturing the benchmark's dividend yield, to make sure the benchmark is not understated.
  11. H

    Macro trading

    Terminating the ewj, fxi and vgk positions around market close. I’ll post this week’s results and next week’s trades over the weekend.
  12. H

    Macro trading

    Here are the last week's results. Also reposting the week of 12/2 results with corrected dates. The numbers were accurate.
  13. H

    Macro trading

    The view for the week that the rest of the world will benefit more than the US from the trade worries abating. Before 4pm today, I will be liquidating ERUS, EWZ and TUR, and rotating into China, Europe and Japan (FXI, VGK and EWJ) at allocations of 15%, 40% and 45%. I’ll post this week’s results...
  14. H

    Macro trading

    Last week's performance: Next week will be rich with data releases and central bank meetings. Expecting EM CBs to ease and FOMC to hold steady, my next week’s trades will be Russia, Brazil and Turkey, entering shortly after the market opens on Monday, with the following allocations: ERUS 40%...
  15. H

    Macro trading

    Terminating the USO and VGK positions now. I'll post my next week's trades over the weekend. None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only
  16. H

    Macro trading

    Did't get around posting last week's results, here they are. Changing the format a bit - going forward I'll just include 1 week, but will include the benchmark and portfolio returns since I started this.
  17. H

    Macro trading

    Stayed invested in SSO over the weekend, and will close it out this morning, and rotate into: VGK (75%): expecting some level of convergence between Europe and US USO (25%): expecting the last week's losses to reverse, based on solid demand
  18. H

    Macro trading

    Hello Tom, thank you for your comments. Color coding is a good idea - I actually thought of a similar set of colors. However, using any shade of green when losing money, even if I beat the benchmark, didn't feel right :) I think I'll go yellow/red for the losing trades. Good call on the second...
  19. H

    Macro trading

    None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only
  20. H

    Macro trading

    I think most of the reasons I selected this trade are still at play, so I am keeping this position for another week, not liquidating today. This week stands to finish pretty flat, but I'll post the final results after today's close.
Back
Top