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Sure. Let's start by limiting your trading. $50k margin per Spoo contract and no more than 1 roundtrip per week. Anything beyond is clearly "mindless" speculation and adds no lasting economic value.

I think you underestimate Obama's campaign. Their candidate played the whole thing softly - if McCain had come out strong against any kind of bailout I have no doubt whatsoever Obama would have joined him. The winning bet on the bailout was always the minority position. Both Obama and McCain...

Combining your two statements, it appears you are calling for 400 on SPX at some point in '09. Basically, a 55% haircut from current levels. Is that about right?

Now we wait and see if this is a one-off, or the first domino... (Courtesy Barrons)

"According to latest US Treasury data...total foreign holdings of long-term USD securities increased from US$7.8 trillion in 2006 to US$9.8 trillion in 2007, with US$1.3 trillion of this annual increase from increased foreign holdings of US long-term debt securities, including US Treasuries...

A self-wanking group of iGrandized folks if ever there was one. That said, a couple of them do have wickedly good sense of humor. :)

I don't live in Zimbabwe. Gold is selling for ~30% of its inflation-adjusted peak. If you want to cherry-pick an arbitrary starting point to justify your "strategy" - hey, it's your money.

IB's TWS, Matlab and Excel all work just fine on Macs. Without knowing your needs, there isn't much more to add.

It's a losing battle, I'm afraid. We really really need a better set of Congressional and Presidential candidates...

First, I am commenting specifically on institutions taking FDIC-insured deposits. I'm suggesting that people are ignoring common sense because they know there's a blanket government guarantee. Any depository institution offering luxurious yields should be viewed as waving a huge red flag -...

Intrade "predicting" an Obama electoral college landslide. http://www.intrade.com//?request_operation=main&request_type=action&checkHomePage=true#

The 538 guys cover all the polls and run their models with all the polls and lots and lots of monte carlo like sims. Their latest... http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/todays-polls-1023-mccain-on-life.html

Reduce position sizes.

By chasing yield without worrying about the sanity or health of the banking institution offering that higher yield, you are Ground Zero of the "privatizing profits, socializing losses" problem.

Ask and you shall receive... "Foolish liberals who are trying to read the 2nd Amendment out of the Constitution by claiming it's not an individual right or that it's too much of a public safety hazard don't see the danger in the big picture. They're courting disaster by encouraging others to...

If that's the case, it sounds like you aren't well enough capitalized to even trade one contract. My suggestion would be to move to a less-levered asset class.

The "big one" can only kill you if you're over-leveraged. In which case it's not the "big one" that killed you - it's excessive use of margin. With rational position sizing, stops are not only unnecessary, they're counter-productive.

You do understand the company will have over $40/share in CASH in 12 months, right?

Well that part is wrong already. Depends on which software and what you are doing.

If AAPL is selling for $60 a year from now, that will put it at less than 2x cash. Would love to load the truck at those levels but I don't see how a stock representing a ginormous mountain of cash (and 0 debt) gets that cheap in a Cash Is King economic environment.