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  1. I

    The ACD Method

    Hmm my monthly are much lower (~190 smth), as I probably use wider values. But anyway why would you want to fade monthly A down if your weekly down confirmed? Numberlines? Or is this just that nice move you wish you had caught? :) I actually would like to get opportunity to try short something...
  2. I

    The ACD Method

    Yeah for me also SPY did not even attempt to move up after OR and confirmed weekly A down.
  3. I

    The ACD Method

    Yeah I have small usdjpy position since failed weekly A down @~103.60 just never added to it (unfortunately) as it went up like a rocket. You think there are more potential? Is it beggining of the move to 150? :) About GBP you are right patience is a virtue so probably it is best to wait and...
  4. I

    The ACD Method

    Hmm so Scots voted no and GBP go up and then reverses and make real strong A down. Good news bad action? Its kinda confusing to me I have a feeling that it is currency to be in as it should move, but currently can't decide if I'm bulish or bearish so have to wait :) NLs not confirmed anymore and...
  5. I

    The ACD Method

    Yeah probably its better, I just noticed that when EUR dived after rate cut gold was actually up a bit and it caught my eye as an anomaly. Now it kinda reversed. However its probably logical. Some initial move from eur to gold and after that gold just does what it does. BTW Eur was so weak there...
  6. I

    The ACD Method

    Interesting that gold is up. Probably central banks gets rid of EUR in their reserves and replace it with gold or smth :) For me gold touched quarter A down. Could it go up together with strong dollar?
  7. I

    The ACD Method

    From my perspective US economy and dollar simply stabilized and it's more weakness of others than dollar's strength. EUR is 57% of the basket and in my opinion it really looks horrible. Interest rates are so low EUR basically can be called carry currency now (which is negative for it during risk...
  8. I

    The ACD Method

    Yeah and last week I think on Thursday there was perfect opportunity to enter this trade on failed weekly A down which for me was to the tick @103.56 :) Maybe its time for long awaited fall of the yen to like 120 or smth like that. After failed monthly A down it really looked pretty weak and now...
  9. I

    The ACD Method

    Correct me if I'm wrong. I read this formula like this: probability that period is high OR low of the day but NOT both high AND low of the day. I wrote: "That would be ~7% percent probability that interval is low or high of the session. " by that definition your formula is correct, but I guess...
  10. I

    The ACD Method

    Ok getting back on that. There were some problems in my database with eur/usd and eur/chf. So real numbers are like that: EUR/USD Total days: 1418. Total of 481 days or high/low is daily high/low - 34% Total of 236 Daily high Total of 245 Daily low EUR/CHF Total days: 1418. Total of 511...
  11. I

    The ACD Method

    Yeah those are preliminary results I need to check my code as EUR/USD is really a red flag that something is wrong :) Will update later with new findings. I'm not strong at math, but my calculation would be that there are 14 hours from 3 am to 17 pm that means 28 30 min intervals. So there...
  12. I

    The ACD Method

    Sorry I forgot to save file before uploading. There are data on more currencies. Attaching a new one.
  13. I

    The ACD Method

    Hi! Here I have some statistics from my application for currencies and their OR. As you know OR is important because it is statistically significant and OR high/low is often session high/low. This statistics are for currencies for or 3:00-3:30 est (london open). Results I found are ~30+% of the...
  14. I

    The ACD Method

    I'm not Maverick but I personally think it would be of little value. What is numberlines? What does it show to you? For me its quick way to glance how intraday action is looking and is stock acting right. So lets say you have stock A which acts strongly and stock B in same sector which is weak...
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    The ACD Method

    Thanks! That's what I thought and trying to do. Watching closely only "interesting" stuff at the time and have some kind of filter/signals to recognize it (my filter is price near certain pivot level, just like livermore's and NLs as a helper:). I have coded NLs and didn't review much products...
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    The ACD Method

    Not to miss copper you need to watch it. What techniques you use to maximize number of markets you watch and not getting overwhelmed by too much. How do you know that more markets in your watch list would do more harm than good?
  17. I

    The ACD Method

    IMHO why not. There can be different reasons for different people. Leverage is two sided sword, maybe someone is very risk averse. Also maybe someone is comfortable analyzing stocks and like that there are lots of opportunities. For example if you expect market turn, why go long index when you...
  18. I

    The ACD Method

    Hello guys, I was reading this thread for quite some time now and want to thank all guys contributing and especially Maverick of course :) Now I'm interested if anyone looked at Livermore market key system. It looks like it and ACD are especially fit to be used together. Livermore was talking...
  19. I

    Economic systems explained!

    I found that funny :) Not sure if someone shared this already: http://www.sadanduseless.com/image.php?n=2359#K8Pr5iFjdVWVewds.01
  20. I

    Why is there no inflation?

    I don't know if world currency inflation-deflation game is zero sum - its too complicated for me :) I guess in normal environment it shouldn't be as every country would inflate just a bit. But pegged currency situation is a bit different as one country needs to maintain peg. So as Chinese has...
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