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I was chatting in telegram and made mention of an ETer from the last decade who was an early adopter of BTC and really evangelized it here. I chatted with him (as atticus IIRC) in PM a few times and he sent me a screenshot of his mining at the time and he had mined something approaching 33K...

snark, when did you do a stint at Citadel?

lol when were you at Citadel?

Markets will see continuation unless there is some contagion. Just look at the volume and recovery in BIDU. Friday's GS drama is the only reason that I flipped short to long. No, it's not a new bull market, but that BIDU short was a crowded trade.

Short futures + long call = same strike long put. Conversion market.

Borat, who wants to make money quickly? Imagine! A bucket shop offering mkts on digitals and capped (cap and floors) futures and it sucks? We're really talking about an $8 expectation here?

Social media stocks are doing jack shit. FB will underperform as it's still about the rotation into cyclicals and the infrastructure Bill.

You're trading synthetic long puts any time you buy calls around a futures position. The moneyness determines how much you're willing to risk (intrinsic on syn-put). Choose a strike on NDX that you're looking to hedge with a call and then look at the actual put at that strike. Are you willing...

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-demands-update-durham-probe-fbi-russia-investigation

When is McCabe getting locked up? WTF IS DRRRRHAM!?

When is the last time you paid for Door Dash with gold?

Is Archegos big in China tech?

I realize that 1) nobody reads these threads outside of E European posters and 2) you're into FX bc the barrier to entry is zero, but ask yourself if the space is worth the time considering nothing moved on Friday and there was huge opps in equities. Look at the swings on indices, China shares...

I trade 100 lots on index from my phone while camping so I am good with dirty. It's a quicky to eyeball size. Practically, I trade smaller when i don't have access to my sheets. These aren't skew locks we're trading here.

Use ATM deltas within local vol (inside 30D strikes). So you've got the following -30D, ATM, +30D strikes at 20, 17, 14 vols. Assume a 20 line on the bear touch, 17 line on the bull touch and calc your delts. Obv you're going to have movement on the strips to contend with, but for a basic...

Yeah, WTF is DURHAM???!!!111

I still like the idea, generally, into longer holds. Prem on 12K comho -> stress ATM combo at 12K combo vol-line -> stress day1 strike touch at new vol. You're going to have to be satisfied with the value on the stress knowing that the 12K skew figure isn't going to full compensate for a move...

Shorting the 12K straddle as a hedge? It's not a bad idea as there is some juice in the strike. I bought the garbage combo before I understood what was happening (before hearing abt Goldman BWIC spoof). I covered my NQ short at 12,885 and went long deltas in SN and NDX. I bought futs at 12,940...

Because low global rates don't warrant being in the swaps unless you're a long term holder. The IR differential doesn't warrant trading these huge spreads. It's a function of rates. Obv it has improved in recent months.

It's too late to "ban" it per se and he's out of his depth. Oh yeah, he lost almost 20% last year so he doesn't seem like much of a pessimist to me. What good is he (his opining on bubbles) if he cant make money on his bubble pretext during the first half of 2020?