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except one will expect to get paid on his 100percent return.

appreciate the honesty.

that stop is your risk.

During Microsoft’s doldrums (2003-2009) it was recommended by some analysts that Steve Ballmer take Microsoft private. It was generating so much cash that he could have paid down all the debt in 8 years.

Growing wealth is rarely a linear line. If your process is good you will do well over time but will have some bad years, lots of good years and some great years. if your process isn’t good you will have fluke good years and bad years. make sure your process is good.

If you want to establish a track record to solicit funds you will need an accountant to audit your returns. That is they will take all your transactions and vet them and then write a statement stating your returns are accurate. You can have them do the calculations in the report. otherwise. No...

but your plan has a stop loss or expected loss if you are wrong, Right? If so, That’s your risk. your plan must have some modicum of an idea as to what you could earn, right? That would be your expected return. You might use different terms but I would be surprised that a long term successful...

Technically they shouldn’t decay at all as there is not stock volatility. Decay is the price of expected gamma pnl. However they should decay something because you expect a lot of gamma pnl on the open. if the opening price was always equal to the previous close they should have no decay...

.11 cents represents the risk of a big after hours move that would affect your decision to exercise the option. the time cutoff for that is about 530pm depending on the broker. if you want to model intraday you can do two things: determine the seconds until 530 and use that as time to...

Percentage returns. Its better to not think of the money as real (like casino chips). As your account grows the $ figures will affect your emotional state especially as the numbers get bigger. If you stick with this, there will be a year where you will give back multiple X's your salary...

Isnt success the same as profit? if you are using your historical data to determine success rates then how do you apply that to today’s environment which is going to be different.

not sure why you would turn the thread into this direction. Is your male ego that fragile?

either can use their strengths to build a profitable trading career.

how is your weighting system not a risk reward calculation? And how do your historic returns determine your future exposure? Isn’t the world today different from the past?

right wing tactic. Say something 99 times. Say the opposite 1 time and if that’s right highlight how you said the right thing 1 time. It’s a form of white washing

hannity (and others) use the comedic exemption. As a result they aren’t held accountable for their mistruths.

i have never heard of anyone claiming a probability that is a number between zero and 1 as being equal to exposure which is typically a dollar figure. So if you could elaborate, i would be very interested.

If you are on this board you have a likelihood of being strung up by your fingers and being beaten like a piñata.

was your original post a typo?

probability and exposure are not the same. You can have exposure (pnl impact) to a very unlikely event or to a very likely event. Obviously you would view the two very differently.