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  1. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Went long on this one too a few days ago but in the red so far...
  2. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Out @ 0.07.
  3. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Indeed, still working on my system as it is still experimental at the moment. I'll get there :-).
  4. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Out @ -5.8 (might re-enter again lower if it drops).
  5. R

    Goldman roll

    Precisely.
  6. R

    Goldman roll

    I did some quick analysis on this and this is not really profitable anymore so I dropped it. There are plenty of papers out there on this subject.
  7. R

    FX spot rollover trading in the professionel market

    Depending on the holding period of the fund if it is short term they trade spot and do tom-next swaps every day if long term then they trade spot and roll forward to imm dates (3 months, etc...)
  8. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Thanks. Do you know what's VSR and DVE by any chance?
  9. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Out of curiosity, what do you look at (if you can say)?
  10. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Something like that I guess.
  11. R

    Ag trade ideas

    I've noticed that, statistically, after a sharp move, prices will revert after the peak volume. This applies mainly to LH.
  12. R

    Ag trade ideas

    It's based on my main indicator for the trade direction and a volume forecast which shows that we should have hit the peak volume for this contract. I'll stop/exit if I don't see a reaction on these levels within the next few days.
  13. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Went long Lean Hogs Z7-G8. Short pressure is finished and we are on a low, the spread should recover before expiration:
  14. R

    Ag trade ideas

    My timing on LH was really off... Went long SBH8-K8 this morning at -0.11:
  15. R

    Historical Data for Python

    What about Quantopian? You can't download data but at least you can test ideas in Python.
  16. R

    Ag trade ideas

    I stopped @ -3.5, watching for the next short signal.
  17. R

    Ag trade ideas

    I have a signal which gives me which side to trade based on some analysis, then I trade based on technicals. So at the moment, my signal gives me short on Lean Hogs. Z7-G8 had a leg down: While G8-J8 didn't move: PS: There was a typo on my previous post, I meant short G8-J8.
  18. R

    Ag trade ideas

    Lean Hog butterfly (Z7-G8-J8) - Long around -1.6. Or as an alternative short on G8-J8 as I believe it will catch up Z7-G8 (I am short on Z7-G8 @ -3.8).
  19. R

    Ag trade ideas

    I think this is probably due to Taylor being considered as Chair which would be bad news for the long end. I am long Z9-Z0 but will stop out if he is selected. Would keep if anyone else is.
  20. R

    Ag trade ideas

    More liquidity on Eurodollar for sure but it's been so quiet lately... At least I get a bit of movement on commos. Yes, spreads and flies and very rarely outrights.
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