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  1. L

    Baron's Crypto Trading Journal

    This discussion ain't going anywhere, but it sure as hell is entertaining on the sidelines... :)
  2. L

    Flip of a coin..but

    For a day going from low to high - the day low will be found within the first 60 minutes 74 % (!) of the time on ES. Within the first 90 minutes the day low will be found 85 % (!) of the time. Sample size is the last 8 years. RTH session. ES. That doesn't sound random to me. I don't use...
  3. L

    Flip of a coin..but

    That's not what's being discussed here, @SimpleMeLike. @hilmy83 states that because a random function resembles a price chart then a price chart is random as well.
  4. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    LOL. And where were you all day? I caught a small piece of that. Stopped while taking a shower before heading out. Can't sit around all day waiting for it to hit target.
  5. L

    Flip of a coin..but

    It's not. I don't look at those shapes in the clouds or traditional technical analyis.
  6. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Unless someone steps up at 4K and sells it again, I'm sure we'll see 4020 today.
  7. L

    Flip of a coin..but

    By the way, as you seem to be interested in quantitative trading, please check out this old two part articles series. It was a good primer for me back in the day for a way to trade without charts. Some good stuff here, IMO. Maybe you'll find the time to do a back-test for the most recent years...
  8. L

    Flip of a coin..but

    So, because a random function can resemble a price chart your assumption is that a price chart is random as well? I would question that assumption. Further, I would add that I'm sure quantitative traders doesn't rely on charts/chart formations for their predictions. They could do, of course...
  9. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Hard to know how greedy to be if one is long here. We should get that 4003 print. Could be smart to take profits there and call it a day. But I have to say I'm wondering if we'd see that 4030 tag today...? I'm thinking the key is to see how the market reacts if we get another push above 4K...
  10. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Gap fill imminent just above 4003. Curious if that caps it or if there's more juice in this today. Trend day potential here.
  11. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    85/87 is a potential reversal area and we're working that one now for at least a pullback, but I'm thinking higher from here.
  12. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Will today be a rare Inside Day or will we take out either 4018 above or 3957 below by the Close? Place your bets. :)
  13. L

    Friday the 13th

    Yes. Thanks. That was the one I found, but can't seem to see actual times for the release? Or am I blind?
  14. L

    Friday the 13th

    Is there a good calendar for tracking the exact time/date for such releases? I keep track of news in my economic calendar, but it doesn't contain earnings which we've seen this year can move the indices. Thank you.
  15. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Not sure if this was serious or not... :) This is @Buy1Sell2's journal and I think he would say, "Journal is open to all...". The only reason I was giving you a hard time last year was because you were kind of condescending towards those who held an opposing view of you at the time. The...
  16. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Maybe. I'm loading up the truck here (4001.50), pre-market. And will add if we trade higher. Not as confident as you, though. :)
  17. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Interesting. FWIW, I just stopped out of a long on a trailing stop. I was sure we'd see 30 today. And we still might. We are however in a potential sell zone here for the big boys. Unless we can trade quickly back above 4K, I'd say this is looking like an actual reversal and not a retrace.
  18. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Overnight high at 21.50. I don't see why we won't trade there at this rate and probably overshoot it to run some stops. Not much higher after that to fill the gap at 29. And still well within average ranges and % change. Buckle up, boys. :)
  19. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Sorry about that. Could still be a turning point around 30, though.
  20. L

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Shorts about to get smoked.
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