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  1. N

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Thanks very much! Our of curiosity, is there a reason why you're reluctant to go into more details? I'm just trying to understand if there is an edge you're trying to not give away perhaps. I think many of us here would be very unhappy about only 60% winning days. Don't get me wrong, this...
  2. N

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Out of curiosity, I wonder if you don't mind sharing some stats of your algo? I'm always intrigued by the stats of traders, things like win rate, average win vs. average loss, number of trades taken, that sort of thing. The common theme seems to be to cut losers quickly and let winners run...
  3. N

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Don't ask me how I managed to do this, but for some reason, my limit orders hit almost perfectly. Its super small positions, $100 for each little green dot, but shit, you'd think I almost have a crystal ball! I'm torn between wanting to get aggressive with the DCA approach vs. waiting for...
  4. N

    The effect of options expiration on index futures

    Yes, I see exactly what you mean. None of those charts are helpful if we don't know where the largest level was on that day. But what exactly is the largest level? If its just where most traders are positioned, well, don't more traders lose? If a Money Maker has those clients and their...
  5. N

    The effect of options expiration on index futures

    I don't know what their books would have shown in the past, but I decided to look up the last 6 months of OpEx to see if there is a pattern to how they traded and made this summary. Included is also the range from high to low beside the date. Today is the bottom right, and the range behavior...
  6. N

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Ouch...
  7. N

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Can you give me the rundown on who this Ash guy is? Been reading some of his posts and don't really know what he is about. He has a high subscriber count, but so does that BitBoy loser Ben Armstrong....
  8. N

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Did I message you? I don't remember honestly. But why would I need help? It was obvious we were going to sell from the opening print today in order to fill the gap. Then we would drop below the overnight low to clear out some stops and start grinding higher. Also, the 61.8% fib was there...
  9. N

    So you want to be a rock n roll star or a day trader. No Problemo. ymmv

    What do you guys think of this? His training videos are just like every else. Good ideas, well presented, but highly cherry picked. But here he shows some stats. Looks legit, but I'm not familiar with these brokers or platforms, and these days its fairly easy to alter statements and videos...
  10. N

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    And as always, 2 hours too late. Jesus, with a 2 hour posting time delay, even I could be a profitable trader!
  11. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    For the record, I also remember a bet like this from the past. The trouble is that you have to know when he is serious and when he isn't. Usually he just shoots his mouth off and makes a bet. This isn't a valid bet for him yet. You have to outline the particulars and get him to agree on...
  12. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    I doubt I will ever hang out at the fancy places that you get to go to! :D
  13. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    Not really. I mean think about it from the perspective of free speech. Everyone has the right to say what they want. If you don't want to listen to them, you ignore/block them. When you look at your thread, you see a bunch of posts skipped, but you don't have to read it now. What you guys...
  14. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    Like I said... we are your whore to degrade. At least this way you aren't bringing a disease home to your wife... LOL
  15. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    And this is where you are wrong. He trades a full ES contract, and sometimes 2 or 3. I have no money to bet, but I've seen enough of his work and talked with him enough to know the struggle is real, and his results in the past few weeks are real as well. If you feel so confident, bet him $1k...
  16. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    But see, this is the thing. The edge really is in the PnL if you ask me. I just mentioned Dustin up above. Incredible trader and regularly has 100k days. But if you see his positions, like he so kindly showed, you see that half of the trades are losers. Then when you see a homerun trade...
  17. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    I honestly think the victim is you. I can't count how many times you say you will leave and yet, you're always back, and you always start another thread. If you wanted to only talk real trading, you would do it in your discord. But you have a hunger to be here. You enjoy the trolls. You...
  18. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    I'm sure you are familiar with @Dustin , correct? I interacted with him on a few occasions in the past year or two and would you believe that his trading is pretty much all based on price action? He showed incredible gains, used 0DTE options for leverage, and essentially just followed the...
  19. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    I too was looking for a post of his from earlier where I thought he said that he couldn't handle the 200k swings. I can't find it anymore though. What struck me last night while falling asleep was to once again further back my claim up that only showing positive PnL’s is the exact opposite of...
  20. N

    dest's vol-arb and modeling journal

    I don't even know if it is you, but we both know that you are far too smart to be caught red handed. You're the expert here on doing detective work, so you're of course also the best to cover your tracks.
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