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Number lines are for the most part stationary but like all time series data, the lookback period is important. Over very short time periods, the data may not be stationary but in the longer term number lines always swing back and forth above and below which makes them very robust for time...

Well, because they don't know how to properly back test data. ACD is much more quantitative then technical. It's less about looking at pretty charts and more about looking at data.

Yes, this is true. You are right. I like to keep peeling away at data until I extract the most amount of noise and get to the real information.

Honestly, I don't use any data in raw form. ALL my data is transformed.

ACD derivatives work VERY well. I already have the data on that. :)

Use derivatives. I have 2nd order and 3rd order derivatives for NLs. They are VERY fast.

What I don't understand is how ET bitches about the lack of volatility for years then when we get it, they don't understand it. There is nothing unusual about this market. This is how the market actually use to trade many years ago.

Would be a disaster.

The best indication I have found is still the number lines. I posted on this very thread the second I felt the change. It was a number per se like a confirmation but rather a change in pattern, it really stuck out to me. I started seeing really weak number lines firm quickly. These are...

If you guys think this is volatile then most of you have not been doing this very long. LOL.

I suspect it would lag the market since investors would change their behavior after the fact.

I bet you could make a good case for using WFM as a risk stock. One of the first things people stop doing when they get worried about the economy is stop buying homegrown completely purified organic milk from the mountains of New Zealand for $14 a gallon. But I'll be damned if they don't run...

China ruined the fun for everybody. Copper use to be very reliable. Now China is a market maker in the product. LOL.

Gold goes though a lot of changes so it's hard to peg down exactly what is going on outside the number lines.

I still get amazed watching number lines transition and seeing the reversals in spoos, oil and nat gas.

Yeah I've got my eye on Gold. We have not seen legit follow through in a really long time. I want to see it get through this QTR A up.

Good old Japan....

Says the guy with 22k posts almost all in P&R. LOL.

The destruction in energy is not going to be over until all the bad debt gets liquidated and bankruptcies begin. Will it be Glencore, Noble, whoever. We know how these cycles end and there will be many casualties. I wouldn't start buying any names till these start coming out.

Is that key free? LOL.