Search results

  1. deaddog

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    i Have never understood hedging. You buy one security that will move in the opposite direction of the one you hold. So as one goes up, the other goes down and you don't lose any money. But you don't make any either. Or you spend a little to buy OTM options so in the case of a black swan event...
  2. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Hundreds? On any one day? Don't think I've ever had hundreds. There are days I don't find any and days I'm fully invested and don't need to look. I also filter for minimum price and volume. There is no information I need that is not shown on a chart. I don't disagree that I'm long momentum...
  3. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    I have no idea how to compute a sharpe ratio. All seven positions have survived or I wouldn't be holding them. I risk less than 1% of my portfolio per trade. I rarely get over 7 or 8 positions before I run out of capital. Win rate this year so far is 61% (That's better than most years Average...
  4. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Nothing works all the time. If you got your double (105%) by betting everything on each trade I'm afraid you are doomed.
  5. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Do you understand the magic of compounding. After 5 years you have 192K; hardly pointless.
  6. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    54 trades so far in 2021; Holding 7 positions today; 30% in cash; went to cash in Mar 2020 so don't have anything that's 2 years old.
  7. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Any idea what that would be because I can't think of anything?
  8. deaddog

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    Does outperform mean that when the market drops 40% they only drop 35%? Does that skill involve shifting assets so that the drawdown in minimal? How does one manage a portfolio that only holds equities? Are there managers who will move back and forth between stocks and cash or is that seen as...
  9. deaddog

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    I guess for the guys I hired my expectations were too much. Wouldn't you expect a professional to out perform the market.
  10. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    There are rules? Trading is one of the few places where doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results actually makes sense. My rules. Buy stocks that are going up. Don't hold losers in your portfolio. Don't hold stocks that are trending down. How do I tell if they are...
  11. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Ah but if you throw in a little trade management. Cut losses and let winning trades run until they change trends you can make a pretty good return with 50/50. I don't just pick random stocks. I prefer stocks making new highs, after being in a consolidation with the daily range and volume...
  12. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Somehow I get the impression you haven't had much success reading charts. Is it because you were taught that TA didn't work or have you not put in the time to learn how it works? I've done lots of reading but then I was studying how to read charts.
  13. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    That and learning from your mistakes.
  14. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Someone much smarter than me once said "Luck is the residue of effort"
  15. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Maybe you should stop trading stocks that are falling? You can always get out the next day if a trade goes against you.
  16. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    Sounds like one of those strategies that always works until it doesn't. The question is has this helped with your education. What could you have done different and why didn't you? Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result actually works when you're trading. You just...
  17. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    You never know. You decide before you get in the trade how much you are willing to lose then set a stop. Are we discussing NILE? Where did you get in? Where did you exit?
  18. deaddog

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    The average fund manager can't outperform the indexes and 90% of traders fail. You are making 105% with algos and a way more discretionarily. Nice!!
  19. deaddog

    Bitcoin "Freefall"

    Hey John; Attacking the person rather than the belief doesn't add to the debate.
  20. deaddog

    how do you make sense of seasonal market trends?

    The trend is down and you are going long!! That's fighting the trend.
Back
Top