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what meaning are you attaching to a trend? it is movement in the same direction.......a movement of 5 ticks up is a trend. of course that 5 ticks may be all illusion or Maya as my wise local country men have said.

so you are saying looking at price to trade is putting too much thought?

you do not have time on your hands......and that why options are for suckers. that said if you have the right method you can make a killing.i did that once. i saw the OI for out of the money calls, were 10 times the OI for in the money calls.i made 500% in one month.

i could fall in love with you scalping is not for everyone but it is for someone who does not have patience and has a lot of time and is good at reading market.and who wants to hear the cash register ringing but make one mistake and you will lose money very very fast. i lost it for 12 years...

i do not want to insult your hypotheses,but there is nothing magical about anything. but i do agree with the gist of what you say it is all based on price and if you cannot figure it out with price alone ,it is sheer stupidity to try and figure it out with a derivative of price. and still...

maybe we should ask John Bollinger that

probably because the market keeps giving false signals.if you are smart but not market savvy you see this and take it at face value. these 'false signals' are noise but it is very difficult to recognise them as such.

that is exactly the purpose of this article.

yes there is no doubt. but there is the problem of managing this. 'if you cannot measure it you cannot manage it '-Seykota

you are right that is why you have to be clear in what time frame you are. a trend on a 5 min, is a trend, only on that time frame.....the same trend may be pullback on the 4 hourly and be noise on a daily time frame....noise means something meaningless. the movement of Saturn only has meaning...

remember there are somethings that cannot be taught,they have to be learned.trading is one of them. there are no short cuts Best of luck

maybe you use an hourly time frame there are some accomplished traders in this forum maybe someone will give you an idea. but the learning curve is steep.

also decide your goal your destination.i wanted to make 20 times in day but i was quite prepared to work for it. decide how much work you are willing to do and then decide the destination or goal and then get on it

the first thing you have to is to decide, in what time frame,you are going to be doing your stuff in. 3-5 years like Soros or 10-20 years like Buffet or 10-20 minutes like Al Brooks and there are quite a few in between .

what ever it is stick to one line of thinking.....at least until you understand everything there is about it. then you check other ways of thinking and believe me there are thousands. that is why there is always a buyer or seller at any rate.......

i am close to reaching where i wanted to be in my trading when i started 12 years ago......i can see my destination.. i only hope it is not a mirage...... as it has been countless times before

i use only market structure. holding time ? i have no fixed holding time......the market decides that.sometimes i hold for 5 hours sometimes for 30 min. i let the market decide that. it is sheer folly to scalp in a trend..

eventually that is what happens. but ten pips movement up and down cannot be because the fundamentals have changed.

i already told you for the last 12 years i have lost over 150000 usd.....i stopped counting at 150 000 you have make some effort to understand market properly but i have always believed that you can understand it....i never believed it was risk management or that we have to accept markets were...

all the best holding for 18 moths is boring but you can run your business in the mean time.