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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    The number lines are qualitative. So manual analysis is needed. I use the first day of the month for monthly and full day above for confirmation. That is not the right way, it's simply the way I do it.
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    Solid plus 3 day in AAPL today. Confirmed a weekly a Up and the 5 day is +6!
  3. M

    Fading Yen - It has gone parabolic

    New highs print.
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    The 30 day is optimal for both identifying an existing trend and identifying the start of a new trend. Since the word "trend" is very subjective to many traders, what's it's doing in reality is measuring the "health" of the market. So regardless of how one defines a trend, the 30 day number...
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    Right, the monthly re-sets to zero the first day of the month so it can track the monthly A levels. I like to see a 6 or 7 hit on the monthly confirmation. This tells me that we most likely had 3 confirmed A ups that led to the monthly A up. Again, measuring the health of the move. This will...
  6. M

    The ACD Method

    The 30 day measures more long term trend and plays a large part in timing the various cycles. It also measures the quality of the given trend. Think of the number line as your vitals in your body. And your actual outside appearance as the price chart. Many people look healthy on the outside...
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    They are legitimate buys right now in the Aussie, Dollar and Euro crosses. Ideally you have made coin well into this move. The number lines have been conformed for ages. Only the GBP/JPY did a re-set on the failed QTR A down.
  8. M

    The ACD Method

    Alright, since I have neglected stocks on this thread a little bit, just to keep the dialogue going, I finally ran the number lines on AAPL and GOOG for those of you stock guys out there and going forward I'll provide some analysis on those two tickers. For AAPL, the 30 day is -3. It has...
  9. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    Wrong. Millions of participants are agreeing on stock price. A company's stock is valued much different then the actual company. At least I finally got you to admit that that it's "stock" price is "forward looking" so by default you acknowledge that it's current stock price is NOT what the...
  10. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    Oh good lord dude, go to business school. This is taught ad nausem there. Your argument is all over the map. How the f*ck do you think people value privately held companies? Which a Ouija board? LOL.
  11. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    Excuses. You contradict your own statements. First you say companies are bought out at current stock prices, your entire basis for your "why is apple so cheap" argument. Then you state companies are almost always bought out for a premium, which most of us already know. Which makes your "what...
  12. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    No, that is the market capitalization. That is not what the company's true value is. A company's market cap can be substantially higher or lower then it's real value. Sure, if you wanted to buy 100 shares of AAPL "stock" you could pay the offer. But if someone wanted to actually buy the...
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    Let's not leave off Bonds. Bonds are really breaking down here. We currently sitting right at the QTR A down at 141'05. We already confirmed a monthly A down at 143. The 5 day is -7 confirming the momentum. The monthly is -4. And the 30 day is -9 and confirmed on Friday.
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    And then we have Natty. Sitting right at the monthly A up at 3.63. We have +4 on the monthly and +2 on the 5 day and +9 on the 30 day. So to make this simple, if we get a +2 day on Monday, all 3 number lines will confirm.
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    Gold still is weak. The monthly levels are 1542 and 1608. The monthly number line is -3 as is the 5 day. The 30 day is still very weak at -16. With Gold you still want to be focusing on places to sell, not buy.
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    The spoos confirmed a monthly A up at 1532. The monthly is a +6 and the 5 day is +2. The monthly confirms the A up and the 5 day finally shows some waning momentum. In other words, a breather. The 30 day has pulled back from +16 to +6. There are two things that would stop the trend. A -5...
  17. M

    The ACD Method

    Time for a weekly recap. Most of the action this week was in the currencies. The two strongest pairs are the USD/JPY and AUD/JPY. Both breaking out above their monthly A ups to new 52 week highs. USD/JPY has a +10 on the monthly and AUD/JPY +8. These are very strong monthly numbers and...
  18. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    Yes and collectively half of them "sold" at 700. It doesn't matter if it was one guy named Larry or a million Larry's in retirement fund. All transactions are in the "now". If you sell 10k shares at 700 it's because you believe right "now" it's a good sale. Someone is on the other side of...
  19. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    No, that's not what happened. Thousands of traders agreed on "price" and "disagreed" on value. Who do you think sold the shares at 700? People who thought AAPL was worth a lot less. This is what people have a hard time with in the market. Price and value are NOT the same thing.
  20. M

    Does Apple prove that the stock market can be a total joke?

    A company's stock is just like a house. It's worth exactly what someone is willing to pay for it "today". You might think your house is worth 500k because of the schools, the views, the new roof, blah, blah, blah. But actually, it's only worth what someone is willing to pay for it right now...
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