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  1. M

    The ACD Method

    The stock will be 35 pts higher before that. You'll be long gone before they come out.
  2. M

    The ACD Method

    Yes, both the old and the new testament.
  3. M

    The ACD Method

    And for you stock gamers out there, GOOG bounced off both the QTR and Monthly A down today. The 5 day line confirms it's a safe fade. Good low risk entry right here....right now.
  4. M

    The ACD Method

    The Yen pairs all blew through their monthly and QTR levels as well with USD/JPY and AUD/JPY about to confirm on the 30 day! This is after the re-set btw.
  5. M

    The ACD Method

    Bonds already hitting their QTR A up on the 5th trading day of the QTR! I've gone over this 100 times. You guys know what that means.
  6. M

    Nat Gas news

    There is very little contango right now in gas. Almost zero cost to hold it.
  7. M

    The ACD Method

    The number line is not a momentum indicator although it can show momentum. It's more of an indicator of internal strength or weakness. Think of it more like the market internals like TRIN, Avancers/Decliners, upvolume/downvolume. As Fisher likes to say, the number line is the market's vitals...
  8. M

    Nat Gas news

    What do you mean? It is a long term tracking ETF. The calendar basis in nat gas varies. The monthly strips are pretty tight now. That was NOT the case when natty was down at 1.90. The curve was pretty steep. Now it's much flatter so UNL won't cost much to hold.
  9. M

    Nat Gas news

    You can buy the first 12 month strip via etf in UNL.
  10. M

    Nat Gas news

    Some exciting news in the world of natty gas. http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/japan-to-start-lng-futures-con/624594.html http://www.eex.com/en/Press%20Room/Press%20Release/press/130048
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    We got a 30 day number line confirm today in Bonds as well as a confirmed monthly A up. So the spoos may not want to sell off yet but Bonds sure want to rally. If you are looking to short this market, buying bonds might be the better trade.
  12. M

    Holy Cow! Velocity commisions just became a joke!

    This was my quote on March 22nd. I said $625. That is the cost of TT with once exchange.
  13. M

    The ACD Method

    And for those of you that follow the energy crack spreads, we have some major weakness in both the heating oil and rbob cracks. Major sell signals went off mid march in the number lines. Spectacular follow through.
  14. M

    The ACD Method

    On the FX side We had some strong pairs re-set on the 30 day finally: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, EUR/ GBP all reset after some very strong values early the QTR. EUR/AUD confirmed on the downside a few weeks ago and GBP/JPY confirmed last week on the downside. AUD/JPY is the only one yet to...
  15. M

    The ACD Method

    And this is a breakdown of the big winning sectors. Honestly, the charts of utilities, consumer cyclicals and healthcare look like internet stocks from the late 90's. I have never seen charts this smooth for this long for a sector. Normally one would see this as a very bearish sign. But in...
  16. M

    The ACD Method

    With the end of QTR, here is a breakdown on the futures side how everything shaped up. The big winners this QTR were Natural Gas and Japan (both the Nikkei and the Yen). Copper was by far the weakest risk asset.
  17. M

    Palm Beach Traders, Hedgees, Financial Pros

    Destin is nice but Surf is moving for the "networking" thing. Surf is a wheeler and a dealer. A mover and a shaker. :) That's why I suggested the areas that I did. Austin is catching a small bid with the hedge fund community but Dallas still dominates in TX I think for hedge funds...
  18. M

    Can Copper Predict Short term Movements?

    China does not buy up all our debt. They own 10% of it. About 1.1 trillion. You know who else does? Japan! They both own about 1.1 trillion. And I don't think Japan has been very correlated to our markets in over two decades. China is a commodity country. The US is not. They just...
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    A great entry trade is where you get a correction in price with a continuation numberline. What causes this? Gaps for one. And large opening range moves. See you can actually add positive number line values on a stock that is declining in price. Try doing that with your dad's old school TA...
  20. M

    The ACD Method

    Man, the action is really picking up on the number lines. April should be a very interesting month. Keep an eye on Gold. It has worked off almost all the negative values and is about to re-set. The 5 day is +8. I wouldn't touch it going into end of quarter. But next week watch out.
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