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  1. Scataphagos

    on equity price movements, once more

    I recall years ago someone advising, "go through your work and simplify as much as possible. When you're done with that, simplify again". KISS. Yeah, Baby!
  2. Scataphagos

    "Math Correction" Confirms Warren Could Be 0.001% Native American

    By that measure, we're probably ALL "part injun". LOL! https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-15/elizabeth-warren-releases-dna-results-proving-she-part-native-american
  3. Scataphagos

    "Have we now topped . . . " Part 2

    1. "trend down, fundamentally".... seems so, but bull markets are notorious for ignoring/deflecting/"fighting-off" negatives "up to a point" before topping ... sometimes for quite a while. Could be that "2x matched high" in the Dow was in fact, IT! But it's only one of a few...
  4. Scataphagos

    are people in the US starting to live like people in 3rd world countries

    America had one of the largest or the largest percentage of middle class in the world.... untill the Lefty/Commie/DemoCraps got their hooks deep enough into us. The Left doesn't want us to be successful and financially well-off... because we'd have "choices". They want us to be poor and...
  5. Scataphagos

    It’s better to be born rich than gifted

    Partly/mostly because they are told to.... by the Left. The Left doesn't want people to be rich. They want everyone to be poor/equal so that they can be governed by the ruling (rich) elite. (Which is the antithesis of America's founding principles.) When I was a kid I wasn't "poor" in the...
  6. Scataphagos

    Hillary Clinton: "You cannot be civil with a political party that wants to destroy what you stand fo

    I'll believe it when I see it. Haven't we seen this kind of thing before only to see it get squashed before being revealed?
  7. Scataphagos

    Avenatti The Slayer

    Expect more histrionics. After all, what's a few lies if it gets you what you want?
  8. Scataphagos

    Hillary Clinton: "You cannot be civil with a political party that wants to destroy what you stand fo

    She's correct.... but she has it backwards. It's the Lefty/Globalists who are trying to destroy America! https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-12/gop-seizes-lefts-unhinged-mob-mentality-viral-video
  9. Scataphagos

    Cryptocurrency Plunge

    Seems to me... The only crypto that really matters is bitcoin. A half-dozen others are of minor significance. There are more than 2000 other cryptos... LOTS of people own a "pinch" of those... which collectively add up to bupkis.
  10. Scataphagos

    Scalping Vs. Runners

    Try both. Pursue whichever works best for you.
  11. Scataphagos

    2-Week Smashola. 4th Wave?

    Looks to me like this little tantrum is "4th Wave" action... that is, "last correction before the final push higher". Unfortunately, can't tell yet whether it's "the last one" or the "next to last one". Of course, the "2x top" in the Dow could be the final top from the 2009 low. (Big market...
  12. Scataphagos

    Record trade surplus with China due to impending tariffs

    Can't read your post as I have you on ignore. However, there won't be "record trade surplus with China". Trump is trying to "even up" the trade balance with China... currently running nearly $1 TRILLION negative for the US. Of course, China loves this advantage... mostly given to them by...
  13. Scataphagos

    Cramer: Trump shouldn't publicly attack the Fed, but I agree with him

    Disagree. There should be a "cost of capital". Enterprise needs to be able to accommodate that and still be profitable. America did just fine.. GREW LIKE CRAZY... when Treasuries yielded 8.5%, money markets, 6% and passbook savings 5.25% (we used to think of that as a "lousy yield", you...
  14. Scataphagos

    ABC Expects Roseanne Spinoff To Flop

    Similar for Tim Allen in "Last Man Standing".
  15. Scataphagos

    Hillary and Bubba going on tour - lefties get your wallet out

    Oh yeah! Even before Trump, remember Odumbo chastising Republicans with ".... If you want to make policy then you win elections. Until then, just STFU!" Shoe is on the other foot this time... got the Dems whining like a bunch of spoiled little brats. (Unfortunately, they're behaving much...
  16. Scataphagos

    What are reasons behind the long-drawn draw-downs of CTAs since 2009?

    Pardon for quoting myself. It's not that they were "completely no-talent hacks"... they were likely long during the markets' run up. They got that right to varying degrees. But the true measure of a money manager is to "successfully adapt". CTAs whose performance has suffered since 2008 did...
  17. Scataphagos

    What are reasons behind the long-drawn draw-downs of CTAs since 2009?

    Check out the CRB index. It had a STRONG upside bias 2001-2008. Easy to conclude that successful CTAs also had a long bias... which was correct for the time. Since 2008 peak, commodities have had a strong down bias. If CTAs were prone to still having a long bias (not because they couldn't...
  18. Scataphagos

    Mr. President says the federal reserve caused the stock market "correction"

    Political theater. Might be worth a laugh if not so pathetic.
  19. Scataphagos

    The S&P 500 is close to bottoming for 2018

    Historically, the market deflects interest rate increases initially... "up to a point"... rationalizing, "the economy is strong enough to grow in spite of the rate rise". Then one day, the market "changes its mind" about the negatives of interest rates*. *It's possible the market is doing this...
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