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  1. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Tricky zone here as we could be consolidating for the next move higher or just pausing before the next leg down towards yesterday's low. Holding short here, but prepared to switch long on a pop higher above 02/04. Normally, you'd see a test of the Low following a day like yesterday. I was...
  2. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Stopped out for a profit on an open short. Sell stop @ 99. Flagging here for a move lower to 3693,50 or more.
  3. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    To the tick. :) What's the significance of 14 if it's not a secret? Nice move up here on the Open, but can't rule out a swing lower from here to 3700/3695 and possibly even yesterday's Low.
  4. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Given today's session - I think it's quite likely we'll see a dip below 3650 tomorrow before a reversal higher on the day (Tuesday). I'll buy a gap down open or a hold above 3652 on the Open. :)
  5. L

    Data Modeling and Forecasting Swings

    Good luck! :)
  6. L

    BTC - who still laughs about it?!

    I'm curious how many buy Bitcoin for its actual utility. I suspect the answer is close to zero. The answer to why people buy/hold Bitcoin then is that it's motivated by a desire to profit from a price rise. Nothing wrong with that of course. Let's just not pretend you're actually holding...
  7. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Glad to hear it. :)
  8. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    So, trading like a machine you made a profit today, yes? :)
  9. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Given that the SPX range for 2020 was 1568,34 points that's very impressive. I assume this must be your total gain, i.e., x contracts * x points. Regardless, a great result.
  10. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    I'm just happy to finish the day green after going into the red zone early in the day. Now, $1000 in a day doesn't really say much to me. I'm sure there's traders who do that on a daily basis. With today's range being 3x the daily average recently, I think much more than 1K was on offer...
  11. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    By this I mean no offence. But the way my system currently works is that I work based on probabilities and the most common scenarios on any given day. As of today, I'm still caught off guard when you get these rare days like today. A trend follower might not utilize such concepts and simply...
  12. L

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Guys (and gals). We're in 2021 now. :) https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/es-journal-2021-2022.353736/page-2#post-5287793 I feel bad about missing the short side, too. I plotted these levels below in my morning preparation for a move some time in the near future, but did not anticipate it...
  13. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Two main scenarios for the rest of the day, IMO: a. LOD in already and forming a base/DB here for a move towards 15-30. b. Continued selling with a close near the LOD and no counter rally, i.e., a trend day down. Only down 1,56 % so far today, so if it's one of those days, we'll easily see...
  14. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Relentless selling. Reminds me of one of those n <10 kind of days during March 2020. Or maybe the one I have in mind was in August/September.
  15. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Not a buyer in sight... I'm sad to say I missed the short side completely this morning, but that's the honest truth. I knew a move to the low 3700 was coming sooner or later, but I had not anticipated that it would play out like this, obviously. I think 3695/3700 should cap it for today and...
  16. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    3709 next level of interest below 3220. If not - next open gap is 3695,25. If I like the PA - I'm shorting around 3220, but primarily still chasing a long for a bounce in that area.
  17. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Outside Day is possible here. Waiting to see what happens around 3718/20. Only down 0,55 % at this point, so nothing dramatic yet. Given that - I'd say we can easily sell well below 3720 today, so may not be too late to join the short side.
  18. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I'm expecting a move towards 3700 sooner than later. But just don't have the confidence to short ES on a day trade today. That may be a mistake. Flat and watching. Stalking long entries...
  19. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Not 48. 44. We may have the LOD now. Or very soon. If no support here, watch out below.
  20. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Odds strongly favour a hold above 48/53 on today's session. Prepared to buy this pullback. Scratch that on a break below.
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