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  1. L

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    MFT = multiple time frames? If so - of course I do. The curious thing is that I'd say my analysis for today was fairly accurate - yet I traded it poorly because of the reasons I mentioned in the post you quoted. By market Open - I knew with high probability that Monday would be a range bound...
  2. L

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Got it. So, by neutral you simply use black bars for both up/down bars on a white chart for example? Feel free to post your pc charts if you want to. I would agree that $500 is nothing. Which goes both ways - unless your profits far outweigh your losses. So, $6000 gross would be 1200 MES...
  3. L

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    One curious thing I've noticed in my own trading is how my mind (selectively) filters information. I can consciously know that the odds of a move UP is lower than the odds of a move down. And while the market is feeding me new information which seems to increase the odds of a move down - my mind...
  4. L

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Looks red and green to me, i.e., not neutral? Not being argumentative, but genuinely curious as I've been putting some thought myself into actual coloring of my charts. I do use candles, but want to differentiate between up and down while at the same time not 'too dark' colors on the down bars...
  5. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Fair point. If trading only one side - the long side it is.
  6. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    I think he's among those who never continues to 'believe'. I do at times wish I was one of those. I'd be curious about position size, too. I know I couldn't have held through a 200 point drawdown with my position size.
  7. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Added some. Risking 2,5 points targeting 4210 into the Close. EDIT: Stop B/E now.
  8. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    NQ doesn't look pretty at the moment, but should be a good bounce zone for ES here.
  9. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Filled. And stopped @ 92 for a loss. Trying long again @ 93 with a stop @ 89.
  10. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Bottom fishing in this area for a long with a trailing buy stop currently at 97.50 - wrong below 92.
  11. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Range bound session - as to be expected after last week's two successive monster days up to close the week. I was thinking we'd put in the LOD on that leg down earlier and still think there's a chance we may have done so. Seems to be about 50/50 chance we'll make new highs/lows from here.
  12. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Meaning?
  13. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Next hurdle above - 28,50. It could initiate a retrace, but I would expect 4233 + now.
  14. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    The 'danger' below isn't over yet, but it's looking better any minute now. Need to clear and trade above 4223/25, IMO. :) That should unlock 4233.
  15. L

    Nasdaq has topped

    I figure it's now or never, so tightening a stop here at least makes a lot of sense to me. We'll either see a strong rally out of this base or not. The rest of the indices are fairly strong and I'm anticipating a test of Friday's High on ES. I suspect NQ will drag along.
  16. L

    Nasdaq has topped

    You've been given a third chance here. Don't waste it. :) Lock in 13550/13600 here. Triple bottom with a fast reversal coming OR a drop.
  17. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Target would be 4233/35. Should be a range bound session - unless we break below 4210. IMO. :) Breaking below 4210 - I would assume 4195 or so. I suppose it's all contigent on what happens with NQ here, i.e., triple bottom or a new slide.
  18. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    Buy limit @ 4212. Stop @ 08. Should be a good bounce if not the LOD.
  19. L

    Nasdaq has topped

    But you didn't - because you didn't think the market would rally this far. And that's why you didn't take profits, either. I adviced you to get out on Wednesday because I anticipated a huge rally of the lows. As far as I'm concerned, your trade was actually banked, but you messed up by not...
  20. L

    ES Journal - 2021/2022

    We're up 1,2 % on the week. 0,8 % on the day. Definitely more upside potential and it's a trend day so far. I'm flat and sad that I exited too early, but done for the day/week. Seems risky to short and risky to go long.
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