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It will crash eventually but personally I would wait for a clearer turn or at least a flattening out. The saying is "markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." Treasury Bonds in general do not turn from a Fed-inspired path without the wish of the Fed. Actually one...

Right they can't lower "policy rates" (the fed. funds rate etc.) any further because they are at zero. But they want to bring down long-term-rates as well. So to do that they are looking at buying 30-year bonds in large quantities. This is the same mechanism that is used to expand the...

I bought some GM Bonds at a very good price near the lows a couple of weeks ago and the position is at a nice profit but I find I cannot get filled trying to liquidate at a decent price. _ They are GM 8 3/8 07/15/33. IB uses ValuBond / BondPoint. I have had an open limit to sell at 17...

I have no doubt that it is a bubble but I think it has more to go I'm long the 30 year bond (actually call options). The Fed has not even started "quantitative easing" yet. It says it may do so which probably means it will do so. Eventually it will burst but it could be another year or...

It was placed electronically but I left it sitting there for days through both day and night sessions and it was not filled. It did show up on IB's spread quotes but I do not know if that was their own or from the exchange. I would guess the exchange but I could be wrong. I am still looking...

Very interesting. I am thinking of doing a statistical study of option price tick data to see what opportunities may exist. I could look for what markets show the widest spreads or are giving fills furthest from model prices. I wonder of there are any studies out there on this that have...

Has anyone heard of the Wasabi Trading software sold out of Greensboro NC by Skip Watson and Joel Teague? They are giving presentations on it to local investors users groups. It is based partly on the approach of Mark Fisher and ACD.

(At the end of this I will ask whether I should get legal advice on this, and if so, if anyone can suggest a lawyer to contact. But first, let me give the history.) I was having about $170,000 managed by a CTA who had an S&P option premium spread selling program. It was supposed to be...

You can move the license if it is for a retail copy of XP but not if it is for an OEM copy. The latter is tied to the hardware. The former is not - you can reactivate it at least several times.

I notice that Corn futures options (among others) seem to trade with very wide spreads (maybe 5%). To attempt to liquidate a previous vertical spread that was deep in the money, I put in a limit order and it was not being filled after days, even when I was offering to give away one half...

Agreed. In discussions elsewhere nobody has been able to provide an example of the IRS ever having pursued this theory that investing/trading in a retirement account could be treated as operating a business. I think it would be a lot more likely to investigate if you were operating a dry...

I also like trading inside an IRA or pension plan, at least until one has built up enough capital inside the plan to give a decent retirement income. There is no tax at all of gains until withdrawals are made. As you say, there is not even any detailed reporting required. It allows...

Minor correction, these were SELL's not BUY's.

Thanks for the comment. But there were trades taking place in the strikes I was trying and bids and asks were being quoted. So I am not sure if this was the same problem or not. In any case. when data is imperfect, shouldn't IB make an intelligent model-based calculation as to the margin...

I was pretty frustrated on Thursday and Friday when I was unable to enter at-the money option orders in S&P 500 EMini and Crude futures after these markets fell into an area where the strikes were trading widely for the first time. (Orders for higher-up strikes were fine). This prevented me...

Good points but I think that the money supply rate of growth has dropped precipitously for now because there is little lending going on.

Jim Rogers said he is buying the Yen, Swiss Franc, Agriculture, and a little China and Taiwan, Water Treatment stocks. He says that Asia will come back better than the U.S. and Europe. He is still mostly cash though.

Doesn't inflation seem unlikely for now though? I was suspecting that he anticipates increased risk of default even by the U.S. government , say if the Chinese start selling their U.S. Bond holdings.......

Jim Rogers says he is selling T Bonds - that they are the remaining asset bubble that is still to collapse. I do not really understand his logic though....

It may have to do with account size (mine is not small), credit rating, trading experience, having other accounts at MFG (which I had), having accounts at other brokers in the name of the Trust as references (which I had) etc. I doubt it has to do with who you deal with at MFG. All brokers...