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  1. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Sure, all valid points... I'll add when USDJPY is at 60 then :).
  2. M

    Stock<>Index Option Arbitrage?

    Read FDAX's paper and you'll understand...
  3. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I suppose so, but I need to think about it properly, actually. Nice question.
  4. M

    Stock<>Index Option Arbitrage?

    This might be helpful... http://nuclearphynance.com/User%20Files/2/Dispersion%20-%20A%20guide%20for%20the%20clueless%201.1.pdf
  5. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I like it for 3 reasons: 1) I believe that the downside is bounded, since, even now, the strength of the yen is difficult for Japan to deal with. If we go much further, the BoJ/MoF hand might be forced and they will be compelled to act in a meaningful way. If they don't, the impact of the...
  6. M

    Who is really making a living trading options??

    How could anyone have a good answer to a question like yours?
  7. M

    Refinancing in financial markets

    Let me find one of the old threads... Here: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=172041
  8. M

    Refinancing in financial markets

    This has been discussed a number of times... There's a variety of options. Unfortunately, they all have their flaws.
  9. M

    Who is really making a living trading options??

    Notice the use of the word "would" which denotes, if I am not mistaken, a subjunctive mood...
  10. M

    Boaz's position on Greece

    Well, given we don't actually know exactly what the trade is, it's very hard to know the implications of PSI on it.
  11. M

    Attention: I am now short!

    Yet another absolutely priceless gem from ET's resident philosopher-king, TJ.
  12. M

    Short the Euro

    tj, you're truly smth else, you know that?
  13. M

    Greece is the 1st to fall in the establishment of the 4th Reich?

    Nah, it's not 'cause of that. Have you seen a graph of labor productivity in Germany vs other European coutries? Also, what was the retirement age in Germany again? I am not suggesting that the Germans are all warm and fuzzy, but surely to blame them for all Europe's problems is a bit nuts.
  14. M

    Who is really making a living trading options??

    You're wrong and I have already explained why...
  15. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Who knows? More importantly, who cares... Doesn't change the fundamental fact that sov CDS is a sh1t product and shouldn't be touched with a 10ft pole.
  16. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    There's been a lot of ink spilled on the subject. It can be discussed ad nauseam.
  17. M

    Who is really making a living trading options??

    Yes, hence see what I have mentioned above. Specifically, it's not about the leverage in this case, but rather about the embedded liquidity option.
  18. M

    German 5s10s (Bobl/Bund) Steepening

    It's just sort of the mechanics of the curve... You have the ECB on hold, but with the mkt expecting cuts in the near future. That means that the curve looks very flat initially, but then prices a very steep "rebound". It's the sort of curve shape that results in a macro environment where the...
  19. M

    Who is really making a living trading options??

    Would be happy to...
  20. M

    Greece is the 1st to fall in the establishment of the 4th Reich?

    Well, have you seen German GDP recently?
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