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  1. M

    Large LEAPS Orders

    Or, if that fails, spray :)
  2. M

    what is the best object to purchase and store in USA

    Fine, if you wanna be like that... My other idea was even better. You can own the old Soviet T-34 MBT for $20 - 40k.
  3. M

    China drops 97% of it's TBills

    So what? Doesn't the article also mention that China replaced these bills with longer-dated treasuries and agencies? That's just liquidity management on their part...
  4. M

    My Nerves Are Shot

    As I mentioned to you before, Howard, it doesn't matter if the technique is based on Monte Markov Chains or whatever (underlying assumptions matter, not the method). The concept has certain flaws, by construction, which make its indiscriminate use in practice dangerous. It's sorta like what...
  5. M

    My Nerves Are Shot

    Reiner & Rubinstein, 1991 The actual closed form formula is given in the Collector's (Espen Haug's) book, among others. That was in response to how to determine the risk-neutral probability of hitting a barrier.
  6. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    Bernanke has actually indicated this. Obviously, if things get a lot worse, anything's possible.
  7. M

    what is the best object to purchase and store in USA

    Van Gogh originals
  8. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    There will be no QE3...
  9. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Problem with the "removing the weakest link in the chain" argument is that, while it mechanically makes the EUR basket stronger, it also makes the ccy union less credible. So while it may strengthen EUR in the short-term, surely it argues that, long-term, the construct isn't viable.
  10. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    Excess reserves at the Fed don't earn 3%, but rather 0.25%.
  11. M

    Daily Dose of Milton

    The mind is its own place, and in itself Can make a heav'n of hell, a hell of heav'n. Also Milton
  12. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    I forgot the chart I meant to attach... Quick and dirty, as I didn't have time to look for the most appropriate indices. Yellow is the NFIB "expansion" index, white is the NFIB "availability of loans" index. This is the website: http://www.nfib.com/research-foundation
  13. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    Well, sure, and it might get really really cold if ever Hell freezes over... And yes, the problem, at least for the moment, is demand, as you can see from, for example, the NFIB index constituents.
  14. M

    Anyone know when QE3 will get announced?

    Because we're in the middle of a deleveraging cycle...
  15. M

    The Federal Reserve Cartel: The Eight Families

    I love reading these threads... Sorta like watching Jerry Springer.
  16. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I am fading the CHF bid, FWIW... Short CHFNOK and CHFSEK here (puff alert).
  17. M

    The Federal Reserve Cartel: The Eight Families

    Another quality thread... Nice!
  18. M

    How Goldmans cost Gaddafi a $1.3bn fortune

    This is just the Vampire Squid's modest contribution to the effort to remove Gaddafi... They doing their best :).
  19. M

    heard bank traders are selling vol and delta hedging...

    And? What's the question?
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