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I agree with the gist of your post, but I think you may be off the mark with your last point. Sales of other MP3 players and smart phones didn't hinder sales of iPods and iPhones, but rather boosted them (likewise with Amazon's Kindle and its competitors); I think the same will happen with the iPad.

Hey Howard, you're famous now :) Nice interview.

Taxes As in "my risk:reward ratio is 2:1". No it is not.

$400 <u>gas</u> per gallon 1 barrel of oil = 42 gallons --> 42*400 = $16,800 oil barrel That price is only for the most remote bases, not for the majority of them.

Margin calls a-coming... http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/lookups/advisories/clearing/files/Chadv10-425.pdf

I take back the "sizzy" (meant "sissy") comment before...

I think he means the commercial banks with their mortgage-gate

Those playing after hours, keep in mind that today there's an early close at 4:15 EST (ES close) due to Monday's holiday.

sim +.54 (bad fill, wanted to bid 51-2) +.66 stop to be at .60 - argh (was chasing with a bid from .62) :26 stopped out

Could you pretty please leave your desk for 12 minutes? Edit at the close: you had stay, right? :D :p

sim +.50 :16 out be

sim +.62 :08 stop to be :09 stopped out (trying to play for a bo before the close, although imv we're now at fair value)

sim +.61 exit .59 -2

I realize many people are expecting a breakdown, but so far it looks more like a trend day (pause) Now it craters :D

Vol, 57.50 and then long 10? or short till 52.50 - 51.50 and then long 5?

Just trying to consider both perspectives, I don't think either is a slam dunk. Higher grain prices + US net exporter => good for US Weaker dollar/Higher prices of imports => good for US exporters and US employment Higher oil & distillates prices + US net exporter of distillates => bad...

IMF meeting on Sunday and pits closed on Monday - careful with the close.

Sizzy :D

Inflation should hurt Treasuries, but <i>help</i> equities, at least in nominal terms; considering the leverage in futures, that should be a net gain. Even though I agree that the market is forgiving with averagers until is not.

If I may ask (you piqued my curiosity), what's your capital ratio Main:Experiment? Edit: thanks PM