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1. Do most ES traders only trade index futures? Any other commodities/contracts? I trade ES exclusively. Mastering one single market is the way to go, IMO. 2. Are you trading the same instrument(s) everyday? (I don't see this being viable, but just curious) Yes. See above. 3. Can I do well...

If the day low holds now, I think the remainder of this session will be a slow leg up into the close with a high around 77 or so.

I don't know about the home sales, but certainly oil and index futures have decoupled on many occassions. The same with correlation between even NQ and ES. So, if something works only once in a while - what's the use?

Bottoming out in this area and a new (daily) high by EOD?

Exactly. The why is generally not important. I think peoples theories of why this and why that gets in the way of understanding the what or the 'Is' as one prominent member of this board once called it.

A tad too early (30 minutes), but roughly so. Day low near the close. 2770-71 or so.

I'm expecting the day high in this area. 15 minutes or so.