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  1. M

    T-bond now in historical high, how much higher can it go?

    Curr CTD yield is smth like 2.37. JL98 (the comparable JGB, Sep 2027 maturity) yields 1.48, so that's smth like 90bps. If my arithmetic is correct, that's worth arnd 15 points.
  2. M

    Massive PIIGS CDS Spike 12/16

    From the run I got this morning: 5yr Ggb Pts 66 / 71 +0 Port 1075 / 1145 +0 Ireland 725 / 765 +13 Spain 402 / 422 -7 Italy 528 / 558 +0 Belg 325 / 345 +14 France 227 / 241 +6 Aust 193...
  3. M

    190k in an hour¿¿¿ scalping????

    That's absolutely the wrong question...
  4. M

    Massive PIIGS CDS Spike 12/16

    Hmmm, dunno, it looks wrong... I can't find the semi-official Markit close on the web, but all the runs I got on Friday had roughly the same levels of arnd 70 pts.
  5. M

    Massive PIIGS CDS Spike 12/16

    Nah, that's way too high... It closed arnd 70 (that's in pts), so 7,000 bps.
  6. M

    Massive PIIGS CDS Spike 12/16

    That's incorrect... PIIGS actually rallied quite a bit on Friday.
  7. M

    Incredible AP report about Greek Debt and the bailout

    This is actually happening in parallel to the crisis summits. So there's two distinct sets of headlines. Like I said (and to quote a famous song), I, for one, have become comfortably numb.
  8. M

    the coverage of UK FSCS

    Spot fx isn't regulated, so you're not covered where actual trades are concerned. The free cash in your account is covered by the FSCS (the EEA equivalent applies to EU entities, although the amounts covered are significantly smaller, last I checked).
  9. M

    Incredible AP report about Greek Debt and the bailout

    I have no idea where you've been getting your news. The Greek PSI saga has been ongoing for a good long time and it's been common knowledge throughout that they just can't agree. So, contrary to what you say above, the endless headlines about these negotiations going nowhere have been so...
  10. M

    French central bank president attacks UK: Britain should be downgraded

    They clearly have some sort of a thing for Cameron, the Phrench do... *DJ French Fin Min: Better To Be French Than British In Present Economic Environment
  11. M

    French central bank president attacks UK: Britain should be downgraded

    Not at all... In fact, it's a very very strong argument.
  12. M

    The weekly: Greece to default/restructure THIS weekend? thread

    I'll happily do it, Ed... Is it OK if we discuss this tomorrow? It's getting late here and I am gonna be getting out here shortly.
  13. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I always take anything anyone says in the media with a pinch of salt, no matter who it is. It's just interesting that Platt, who normally avoids publicity, has chosen to appear and talk about it so openly. It's not that I found what he had to say distasteful. I may disagree or not, there may...
  14. M

    The weekly: Greece to default/restructure THIS weekend? thread

    Yep, I've seen it before and read it...
  15. M

    Global Macro Trading Journal

    This is interesting: http://www.bloomberg.com/video/82844550/ It's very unusual to see Mike Platt on TV, as he normally doesn't go for publicity (neither does Alan Howard).
  16. M

    TBT long play

    Well, that "zero bottom" isn't quite the right way of thinking about it, since your carry and rolldown are negative (not sure how it works for TBT, but that's what happens w/short bond positions). And if the mkt is random, what's the point of trying to time it and pick bottoms?
  17. M

    The weekly: Greece to default/restructure THIS weekend? thread

    It doesn't make sense... Remember, people who write for Reuters are journalists, rather than treasurers/repo traders. Yes, they're better quality journalists than, say, certain bloggers that shall remain namelss. However, pls, I implore you, treat all the pronouncements that all journos make...
  18. M

    French central bank president attacks UK: Britain should be downgraded

    Erm, not that I don't think Noyer is a total prick for calling for a downgrade of the UK. However, I have to ask you, bwol, unless you can offer accurate info, pls do refrain from opining on these subjects.
  19. M

    Top 10 Hedge Funds lose $31.8 Billion, John Paulson’s Fund Leads the Losers

    But what sort of a funny metric is this? "US equity assets under management" means nothing... What if the fund sold equities and went into cash without affecting AUM? What if it sold US equities and bot Japanese equities or smth like that?
  20. M

    The weekly: Greece to default/restructure THIS weekend? thread

    I have said it before and I will say it again... No matter how many multiple orgasms ZH has, "re-hypothecation" isn't an issue and it's not what killed MFG. As to the rest of your point, Ed, let's wait and see, shall we?
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