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  1. M

    Anyone LONG the DUG Here?

    250% average volume on a fresh 52w low. Always a great sign to buy more!!! I'd add another 1/2 right here and then another 1/2 down another 5% and another 1/2 down another 10%. And then a final 1/2 when we're down 20% from here. 200% long on a 200% short ETF. Making money was never easier...
  2. M

    Diversified portfolio on 2 times leverage

    The problem is that in times of wide-spread market stress (fall 1998, fall 2002, spring 2004, summer 2006, spring 2008 etc.) correlations tend to break down as market players head for the exits or receive margin calls. A panic in stocks usually has repercussions on other markets...
  3. M

    Wall Street or bust

    http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_21/b4085042677127.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_top+story
  4. M

    Would you lose 10-30% of your money

    In my backtesting I found that removing stocks that are down a lot (20, 30 %) and replacing them with stocks that have better technicals (above SMAs, % from 52w high) helps improve risk adjusted returns over the long term. You might make more money in absolute terms riding out a downturn that...
  5. M

    The Grand Delusion Rally

    Pendolatrice that's hilarious
  6. M

    how does the avg return of REITs compare to stocks

    http://library.ameriprise.com/srl/amp/library_article.jsp?tid=1375
  7. M

    The Grand Delusion Rally

    Funny thing is the "GET THE HELL OUT" thread was posted I believe 1-2 weeks before a major intermediate term market bottom. Panic is usually a good sign it seems :p
  8. M

    Oil ETF

    Try OIL
  9. M

    The Grand Delusion Rally

    It's the "I am invincible" syndrome. Look, it's S2007S:
  10. M

    Will the stock market stop rallying at fair value, or go into a bubble?

    Equities are in a bubble? Time to put all your money into bonds, they're totally undervalued!
  11. M

    Will the stock market stop rallying at fair value, or go into a bubble?

    Fair value lies in the eye of the beholder. If something is more expensive than what I consider fair value doesn't in turn mean it is in a pricing bubble that is bound to pop.
  12. M

    Short DAX at 7740

    Hopefully not a .. melt up :cool:
  13. M

    Wall Street and oil prices.

    Ain't that the truth :p
  14. M

    BS market

    Possible. Or we see another 1991 or 1998 type squeeze that crushes all shorts. We will only know in hindsight.
  15. M

    The Grand Delusion Rally

    HOW IS THAT POSSIBLE! HE SAID THERE WAS NO CATALYST FOR THE MARKET TO GO UP!!!!!!!! "MARKETS ARE RIGGED" LMAO
  16. M

    Did Bernanke kill the bears already?

    I expected a little tougher fight. Ben must feel good.
  17. M

    Wall Street and oil prices.

    And how much money did you make exactly spotting and trading against all those bubbles you have spotted in the past? ZERO! You got your head handed to you on a plate by Mr. Market.
  18. M

    BS market

    "WELCOME TO THE BEAR MARKET" "WE ARE ALREADY IN A RECESSION" "SELL THIS RALLY" "DOW SUB 11,000 SOON" "I JUST BOUGHT SOME MORE TWM AND WILL SELL AT $88 PLUS" "THE CONSUMER IS TAPPED OUT" "YOU THINK THE BEAR MARKET IS ALREADY OVER WHEN IT JUST STARTED? THINK AGAIN THIS WILL LAST...
  19. M

    Wall Street and oil prices.

    There is absolutely zero similarity. In 2000 you saw IPOs of worthless companies valued at $1bln. The was endless demand for worthless paper until demand suddenly disappeared. Global oil (not US!) consumption and demand is real and increasing. There is no denying it. We'll have to see at...
  20. M

    Wall Street and oil prices.

    The best and most effective way to burst a crude oil bubble (if it is one) is to simply do nothing from the regulatory point of view. Let all pension funds, hedge funds go leveraged long crude futures, ETNs, ETFs and God knows what derivatives. Let's have housewifes and taxi drivers leverage up...
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