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  1. M

    BS info in OIC FAQ

    His complaint stemmed from the idea that he had no idea what the difference is between intrinsic and extrinsic premium. Guys, this is why the regulators make brokers qualify clients before they can trade options. And this is why most on ET lie on those applications only to file complaints...
  2. M

    Advice for kid out of college....CFA or WHAT?

    I agree, that's economics. Also part of a good education. But even if God himself told you exactly what the market would do, without understanding risk, you will never be able to properly price his advice.
  3. M

    Advice for kid out of college....CFA or WHAT?

    Without finance skills you are not going to properly understand what risk is. Risk is not your stop. LOL. That's very elementary. The reason most people fail at anything in life whether it be sports, a small business or trading is because they are clueless about risk. A stop is not risk...
  4. M

    BS info in OIC FAQ

    The options greeks are fine. They are simply partial differential equations. Math works fine in the real world.
  5. M

    BS info in OIC FAQ

    Nobody in the professional world uses the word premium to associate with intrinsic value. Premium is always assumed to be just that, "premium" as in "over and above".
  6. M

    BS info in OIC FAQ

    OK, now factor in probably a wide bid/ask spread (probably at least a dollar) and there you go, all the extrinsic premium is gone. On to next problem....world peace.
  7. M

    BS info in OIC FAQ

    How much is the leap Put trading for at the 20 strike? That is your answer. Come on guys, put/call parity.
  8. M

    Advice for kid out of college....CFA or WHAT?

    This is a very broad response to that statement as I'm sure it applies to many on this board. But trading and understanding risk is ENTIRELY about the things I mentioned. I don't even know how it's possible for one to survive long term without having a solid foundation in risk analysis...
  9. M

    Advice for kid out of college....CFA or WHAT?

    You didn't learn about risk? About present value? Discount rates? Yield curves? Opportunity cost? NPV? Real Options? Project valuation? Trading is about math, it's about numbers, statistics, data. This is EXACTLY what finance is about. Are you sure you attended class? LOL.
  10. M

    Advice for kid out of college....CFA or WHAT?

    If that is what you got out of your finance class you didn't attend class much.
  11. M

    The ACD Method

    Nice job Steve!
  12. M

    The ACD Method

    http://www.businessinsider.com/udf-visited-by-fbi-2016-2 https://udfexposed.com/ Thanks to Heavenskrow for digging this up. Kyle spoke about this extensively on the "wall street week" episode I posted about a month back.
  13. M

    Kyle Bass strikes again - UDF Down 55% FBI Raid

    He gave a great interview on the new "Wall Street Week" tv show (youtube) where he went over in detail how is going after all these companies and why.
  14. M

    Kyle Bass strikes again - UDF Down 55% FBI Raid

    He does good research. Good find.
  15. M

    an Option metric for " Likely " Profit after X move .....

    How would it have a positive NPV? You have to "subtract" cost, in this case, the 200 pt ITM premium from the cash flows. Your future stream of cash flows should be valued off a random walk model meaning the NPV by definition should be exactly zero unless you feel the option is mispriced.
  16. M

    an Option metric for " Likely " Profit after X move .....

    You mean a "super option"? You have to buy those from unicorns.
  17. M

    The longer you play, the more likely you will die

    Show me the superstar hedge fund managers with a high school education. In fact, show me just one who is both successful and managing more then say 100 million. There are 6 billion people in the world, I need you to find one. You're on the clock....
  18. M

    an Option metric for " Likely " Profit after X move .....

    The ONLY reason to ever buy an option is because you believe the expected net present value is greater then zero. Otherwise some other utility has to be derived from the ENPV being negative such that owning this option increases the ENPV of another holding.
  19. M

    The ACD Method

    Natural gas....new lows.
  20. M

    an Option metric for " Likely " Profit after X move .....

    That's already provided for you in the first order condition of the option itself, known as delta.
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