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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    http://www.thestreet.com/story/11775619/1/nearly-worthless-amr-shares-spike-higher.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO Article from a few weeks back talking about the suit and AAMRQ
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    Potential monster setup when AMR announces deal with US Air with nothing to shareholders, stock fails to adjust enough and gaps down only 10-20%, I will add to shorts at will Only risk then becomes a lawsuit by stockholders and the squeeze that it would generate, I believe it happened some bk...
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    Best short in the market right now is AAMRQ. If I'm right the stock is worthless and any deal that comes out will give $0 to current shareholders. If the unions are getting 13% you can be sure shareholders will get less than that. Likely $0, even the company disclaimers warn against that...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Actually nevermind, bloomberg used a silly headline that made me think the Fed would expand QE3 while still doing OT. But they are dropping OT, which most economists predicted. I guess the real surprise was only the Evans rule, this is paving the way for a NGDP targeting over the coming years...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    2 possibilities -Market thinks Fed will offset any effect of fiscal cliff by expanding QE's. Bullish for stocks. Should be good for a 5%-8% run or so -Market thinks since Fed is pessimistic about cliff they should too. Bearish for stocks Hard call which way it plays out but I'd bet on the...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    I'm referring specifically to the expansion of the QE, there was no reason to do it other than the cliff, econ data has not worsened materially. In fact, no economists to my knowledge even predicted this move in this meeting and everybody was very good at sniffing out QE. This time everyone...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    To me the Fed is clearly buying insurance against the fiscal cliff even though they didn't admit in the statement. They are based in Washington so they must have special info that things are not going to be solved. This idea might potentially start to be realized by the markets over the coming days
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Back in 2010 2011 I speculated loudly and daily that the Fed would not have the guts to raise rates with the UR above 8% and iexpectations well anchored, the market paid a large premium to insure against that outcome. Today the fed says they won't even do it with 6.5% UR "efficient markets" lol
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    TEA might trade above buyout as arb's buy the stock and lend out to short sellers then collect borrow fees. The stock was a strong buy on the day that I covered. I didn't not knew that these borrow rates tended to remain high. Its a lesson learned in this trade
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    FMCN taking a bit on news someone walked out of the deal. I remain the same plan, I rather wait for the deal to implode and short the stock all the way down rather thanbet against this little scam cover up game the chinese are playing
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    SBUX really looks like they will go ahead with TEA purchase http://seekingalpha.com/article/1047881-starbucks-corporation-shareholder-analyst-call?page=6 "We are going to transform the entire tea category and we're going to do it with Teavana in 3 ways"
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    http://www.bloomberg.com/video/anderson-novogratz-on-financial-markets-strategy-VHqxVBmlTYmsuNBnzVkx0A.html Dwight Anderson sees pickup in China
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

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    AAPL: Buying the Dips!

    There are still 50 analysts with a buy or strong buy rating on AAPL, 6 for hold and 2 for sell or underperform. This is quite concerning for longs
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    Getting out is the easy part, if you are short 1 SSF, you buy 100 shares of the stock and by the expiration of the future the 2 positions will cancel each other at no cost(of commissions or spread I believe). There is also some margin relief for this hedged position(not 100% but there is some...
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    I couldn't risk it. I'm used to shorting a lot of OTC stocks and there it definitely it affects your profits if its a popular short(You never get shares and if you do you get bought-in frequently) maybe I'm getting paranoid but from now on I still stick with the more liquid plays. I botched AAPL...
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    Yes, but I don't think you will get filled unless you are wrong(stock moves, there is news, etc)
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    I thought there was 2 possibilities -Someone wanted to short badly ahead of SBUX analyst day as a bet -Someone knew something, along the lines of private studies indicating that the teas were in fact adulterated and they just didn't think the deal would go ahead These borrow rates are just...
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    The Shorting of Frauds, Overhyped and Bankrupt Stocks Journal

    Yesterday there was a lot of weird action in the stock, I even considered there was insider trading of some kind. I don't know who is shorting so aggressively. There could be some potential shorting at 15.40+ hoping for a last minute backout, I just don't know, SBUX didn't even left the language...
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