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valuation trumps all of this, a lot of that (plus more was already in the price). It was the one of the lowest CAPE ratio (shiller PE) of any country out there. it doesn't take much to get things going

Thats what people always say at the bottom

Its kinda like a 2009 moment for Brazil. In the US as stocks rose, people kept bashing the market saying it was a bear market rally, there was still concerns over XYZ. Yet, every bull market you have concerns, you never can catch a good run without buying with concerns

Potential Soros reflexivity on brazilian markets going forward. as sentiment improves, so will business investment, consumer spending, etc. this will improve the economy and give reasons for stocks to rally further. a self reinforcing cycle. Be careful about playing this short, unless its a...

Potential Soros reflexivity on brazilian markets going forward. as sentiment improves, so will business investment, consumer spending, etc. this will improve the economy and give reasons for stocks to rally further. a self reinforcing cycle. Be careful about playing this short, unless its a...

Brazilian stocks and the currency are rising more today as Lula was detained (not arrested). I plan to hold these stocks for years, I expect the recession to end this year and a more centrist or right wing government to take over (when, I don't know). Potentially, this market will make a new...

Two interesting bonds to look at CNX 2022's HNGR 2018's

The hints of immpeachment showed up, and buyers went nuts. Thats why you don't short cheap markets with imminent catalysts

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-04/four-days-after-predicting-oil-will-double-t-boone-pickens-sells-all-oil-holdings You can't help but to wonder how did Pickens became a billionarie if he does dumb stuff like holding the bag on the way down, then selling at the lows to wait and see.

As I said before, now its the time we cry and wish we had bought more at the lows (and I certainly wish I had bought more brazilian stock etfs). I don't think all the hope is lost though, I expect something out of China knock risk assets down over the next few months. Either bad econ numbers...

Brazilian risk assets are having a big run. Impeachment or removal of the leftist president is driving risk seeking sentiment across the board. I'm not selling a share or a bond of what I own. If this thing catches some momo, it could go a lot higher than most think. It has done so already If it...

With stocks ripping in late 2015, I wanted to be adding duration and lightening up in stocks. Unfortunately I didn't do that. When stocks were in a panic I wanted to be buying good stocks that I like and lightening up in bonds (or at least, decreasing duration). I did half of that, in the bond...

My PSH (Ackman's fund) investment is not doing so great but frankly, I'm not concerned. I shorted some amount of VRX to get the total exposure down to 5-7% (from 15%+) exactly so I could whether any storm that could arise from the volatility. This is like an early stage berkshire, people can...

I wanted to have put in 10-15% in BRKB. Ended up only with 2.5% I expect it to return something like 10% a year with little risk for the next 5-10 years so its a good alternative to cash

Buffett was screaming buy BRK in his letter (at least, thats the impression I got),lots of people are chasing now. Real shame, it was a big opportunity for me and I messed up

Shorting puts as a way to buy a stock into a decline is a nice sounding strategy but in practice I'm finding its pretty flawed. What happened to BRKB shows to me the flaw I didn't anticipate. So I shorted a bunch of puts, the stock declined to the strike price and even bellow. I didn't buy...

Only a small loss there, a lot of the value declined as the VIX came down. it was only today that this thing started to appreciate more. will go back to using mostly bonds to hedge my stocks. though, im still cautious because of the Fed

I covered my SPY short calls. I don't want to stay in front of this market

The SEC investigation was obvious that it was going to happen. Cutting guidance is bad but it depends on what the reason is and what the new guidance is. Scheduling the CC and then cancelling is irrelavant, im sure they will do something of that kind soon. Pearson coming back is good, in frauds...

You can buy treasury bonds at IB and earn interest