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  1. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    comp 5 minutes nq and es, almost perfect trend.
  2. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    equities, rate and energy, 7 instruments on regular basis. buy no, equities go the same directions mostly because the major components are the same.
  3. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    that’s bear market mark, possible but not this year, the big techs will have to crash by 50% to go there.
  4. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    stop out 4 long trades in a row, no luck today, 100ma touched on my chart, let’s see what the cpi would bring.
  5. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    5410 on my chart, perhaps could happen todayy
  6. mervyn

    what is 20-year bond rate does TLT=100 imply?

    100 means nothing. market yield are expectations while ytm is math. tlt holds about 40 bonds, maturing around 20+ years.
  7. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    clsoed 5 zt lots, over 4k from last tuesday, in anticipation of nfp news. anyway, bond trades are back, just how big a postion you want to bet. holding 5 lot zn for the fed date, then reenter for december contracts.
  8. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    lol, combined positions here is not even a drop in the bucket, average es volume is 1.2 million per day.
  9. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    well, long trade is always safe, provided you can afford the maximum drawdown 20% like in 2022.
  10. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    gap fill 5492, the upper of jump two weeks ago. let's see if 100dma is in play
  11. mervyn

    The Biggest Boost to the American Economy comes from a Harris win

    Done your estate transfers yet? Without super majority votes, most legislations have 10 years sunset clause. Your master probably "gifted" over $270 millions to his trusts and kids, tax free. Someone will have to foot the bills. The TCJA added a “bonus” exemption amount that doubled the amount...
  12. mervyn

    The Biggest Boost to the American Economy comes from a Harris win

    honestly, you are here long enough so that i assume you know how 1256 contracts taxed, unrealized gains from december 20th to 31st is taxed, or unrealized losses deducted on your schedule d. congress is smart enough, one would carve out if uber wealthy are taxed as the same as mark to market...
  13. mervyn

    ZN Quote on IB question

    me think the cost basis includes the commission, hence the difference. 17/64 is 0.265625, if you only have small lots, rounding is normal. ib won’t make mistakes like that.
  14. mervyn

    Hunter in Deep Doo Doo

    the difference is that from what i read he borrowed the money and paid off irs taxes already, no irs judgement or liens against him. now it is an afterthought.
  15. mervyn

    About Tesla...

    lol. i thought this is 25 minutes ago post, not tanking, elon is having breakfast lunch and dinner too, if all others fail.
  16. mervyn

    About save a futures company

    that’s why, you firm worries too much. just provide good and fast data connectivities to exchanges, let the traders decide their own trade plan and pnl.
  17. mervyn

    Luxury watch makers want government assistance.....absolutely mind boggling

    https://www.watchtime.com/featured/who-owns-what-a-guide-to-the-watch-groups/ i’d consider richemont group watches to begin, omega and grand seiko are exceptions. i met a watch trader in hong kong decades ago and he bought probably 10-20% of certain “extremely expensive” watches and flipping...
  18. mervyn

    Luxury watch makers want government assistance.....absolutely mind boggling

    3 rolex bought with own money and 1 calatrava from my wife as wedding gift long ago. the point is that swatch got lot of brands, they run equally accurate, small players will die naturally.
  19. mervyn

    Luxury watch makers want government assistance.....absolutely mind boggling

    i wouldn’t call those two luxury watches, at best they make accurate timepieces. but just like any matured industry, they hire lot of skilled workers and pay taxes, so it is ok to ask government to give it a break.
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