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  1. mervyn

    Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-lost-4-billion-truth-093019458.html Trump has lost $4 billion in Truth Social wipeout
  2. mervyn

    Palantir PLTR

    don’t want to say loud but fanatic in a “bad” sense, the way he sees the world, you vs me, all or nothing, under the disguise. he is no jobs and gates type of happy person, very dark personality.
  3. mervyn

    S&P 500 to SPX to SPY conversion formula

    spy dividend yield is about 1.24%, divided by 4 quarters, about 0.31%, that is about the difference between spx and es, 15-18 points +/-. then you factor in time decay toward roll date. that is as much as you can get without algos. it is hard to arb es and spx/spy
  4. mervyn

    It appears there are so few retail daytraders trading index futures?

    you think too much, just focus on own pnl.
  5. mervyn

    Dick Cheney says he will vote for Harris

    dick is never a good guy but this is personal business, a blood sport.
  6. mervyn

    Palantir PLTR

    couple of young kids are pumping this stock, just like other yolo trades. have you read maureen dowd's profile on this guy? karp is kind of villain in bond movies, gave me goose bump, a fanatic. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/17/style/alex-karp-palantir.html
  7. mervyn

    Tesla 2024

    tsla is the only player in the so call western world, no one else come clsoe. fsd works or may not work, just the matter of infrastructure and mapping. who else in the mapping business, it is then another big business like their charging stations.
  8. mervyn

    Dick Cheney says he will vote for Harris

    dude, trump messed up her daughter’s career, an eye for an eye, make no doubt trump is not only finished, but his family will either fake away or go down sooner than expected. it is a blood sport.
  9. mervyn

    GME

    if it were yours u would brag about it.
  10. mervyn

    GME

    earings? what earnings? https://www.reuters.com/business/well-timed-gamestop-options-trade-scores-550k-profit-after-roaring-kitty-post-2024-09-06/ someone made money but you don't
  11. mervyn

    Luxury watch makers want government assistance.....absolutely mind boggling

    this looks like grand seiko snowflake https://www.grand-seiko.com/us-en/special/sbga407
  12. mervyn

    Any inversely related Futures products to trade?

    although vix is tradable, i think it is more an indicator, not an asset.
  13. mervyn

    Tesla 2024

    its stock is holding quite well, above 165-175 in the summer. wait for fsd pop
  14. mervyn

    There will be "V's" but absolutely NO V shaped recovery

    one would have to look at the mega 7 in detail, apple new phone may not sell well particularly in china when haiwei just introduced a 3 fold design. nvda blackwell is defective and no one wants h chips. tsla sales is flat. other 4 consumers are not spending much on ads. rest 493 stocks can’t...
  15. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    10% correction first, then 20% bear mark. 2-10 uninverted so look below, gdp recession is highly probable.
  16. mervyn

    H&S bottom on TLT

    rates don’t need technical chart, we are starting rate cutting cycle, tlt will go up regardless in q4 and next year. how high depends on the terminal rate.
  17. mervyn

    Bonds strategy/backtest

    for low frequency trader, you don’t need back tests, just understand the relationship between macro economic data and bond basis, you will be fine. and doesn’t matter you back test or not, you can’t compete with any ficc desks. express your view and trade your own rhythm.
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    if the big techs are moving, up or down, in unison, you can just just click market order.
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    the direction of travel is close enough to make the trade, profit target is discretionary. also on my other screen i have the m7
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