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Marty, in the oil markets, oil is usually almost always bullish in backwardation. Contango markets are bearish. For example, Brent went into steep contango when it broke 100 and collapsed. What is going on in the energy markets right now is anything but simple. A lot of moving parts...

This is a very complex trade and not one I would just wander into without a ton of quantitative research. The big money on the carry trade is made on the debt, not simply on the swap. The daily volatility in AUD/USD exceeds the annual carry. LOL. You do NOT want to do carry trades in an...

http://epchan.blogspot.com/ http://blog.quantopian.com/ http://gekkoquant.com/ http://numericalmethod.com/quantitative-trading-strategies/

It's just behaving better then Rbob. The crack is performing much better.

They trade tick for tick with the stock and there is no uptick rule to get short. It's a binary product. Granted you have to focus more on the large cap stocks vs small caps. Here is a list: http://www.unitedfutures.com/single-stock-futures/single-stock-list.htm

You might want to look into single stock futures. I think they are levered at 5 to 1. And they are not as illiquid as everyone says as they are arbed quite heavily.

I'm more interested in heating oil.

Get use to that kind of professionalism or lack thereof.

114...

Umm....the wealthy do NOT like bubbles. I'm not sure where you are getting that from. Also, the wealthy don't manage their money, money managers of some type do. And a large majority of it is in trust. I'm not sure what to tell you, but you might want to go back to the drawing board.

USD/JPY hit 113...

Right. So the point Arnold is making and what most traders over look is that price is the outer layer of the asset. It wraps around the asset and denotes it's value. But the actual makeup of that asset is embedded underneath that outer layer. So Arnold talks about pipelines and physical...

There is a nice tie in there with what Arnold was talking about and ACD. Anyone want to take a stab at it?

Anytime you can get away from the "superficial" data and look at internal data, you will be better off. The problem with superficial data is that it lumps everything together and gives you one picture. To use a medical analogy, say you went to the DR and the doctor did a complete workup on you...

ER: Why did you ultimately decide to close down the Centaurus Energy Master Fund in 2012? JA: I started in energy trading four days after graduating college and worked in the field for 17 years. For the first 14 years, I loved every day of it. During the next two, the passion I had greatly...

Source: http://www.risk.net/energy-risk/feature/2354055/jo... In an exclusive interview, John Arnold talks to Alexander Osipovich about the extraordinary success of his former hedge fund, Centaurus Advisors, the difficulty of hiring good traders and why he walked away from energy trading after...

ER: How would you describe your approach to fundamental research? How important is it to understand physical fundamentals as opposed to other considerations that might affect a trading decision, such as market psychology? JA: Fundamental research has always been the underlying basis for my...

Hot off the press: In an exclusive interview, John Arnold talks to Alexander Osipovich about the extraordinary success of his former hedge fund, Centaurus Advisors, the difficulty of hiring good traders and why he walked away from energy trading after 17 years In the world of natural gas...

God help us all. :)

USD/JPY 112....