Search results

For the weaker Eurozone countries they continue to gradually improve as most have done until the next financial crisis. At which point Germany and France either see it in their best interest to bail them out and they get bailed out, or they don't and they leave the Eurozone and their currency...

SpaceX has been delivering, literally in some cases like delivering cargo to the ISS, for several years. As I've said before Elon is a shitshow when it comes to large scale operations, which is why SpaceX is one of his only no drama endeavors. They're absolutely killing the previously...

Thanks, very interesting. I wonder what it takes to be a new LP!

The most compelling data I've seen says selling OTM S&P 500 puts which are pervasively overpriced on a risk adjusted basis, although technically anything with a volatility smile is displaying something of this issue? However if the high volatility OTM calls have the same risk adjusted return as...

The first link you provided was to your drive but I'm actually curious to see it, do you mind reposting?

Certainly markets aren't 100 percent efficient, if they were I wouldn't be a trader! However a ton of pretty rigorous statistical analysis has been done on the subject of risk adjusted returns across asset classes and the gross inefficiencies are only really there at extreme inflection points...

For a risk neutral party that is certainly true. Just like it's true that buying a deep OTM call on a random liquid stock is the same as buying a bond if you're considering risk adjusted returns....the volatility of the call (massive drawback) is canceled by the potentially high return (massive...

What SP are you referring to? The S&P 500 yield is 1.88% at the moment, and the stock with the ticker SP (SP Plus Corporation) has no dividend?

Bit of an odd post, but thanks?

Come on people, apply some basic statisticsto this. Think about it this way, if you have enough accounts at your brokerage, even if every one was controlled by monkeys throwing darts at a list of stocks, then some of the accounts by pure random chance would show outsized returns. And you'd be an...

I don't even get how they'd do this? Retroactive to customers who were customers when the loss happened, many of whom are long gone. To current customers, many of whom whom weren't even customers when the loss happened? Future customers, of whom there will be none?

And I'm guessing his fund, which didn't close with his retirement, no long exists. However I sincerely am curious if that is the case. A bit mysterious that there's no information out there on it, imo. It would certainly tend to reinforce the narrative that Trout was a one in a billion trader...

Thanks for the condescending post, hope that made you feel better somehow. Edges come and go, I mentioned one that was quite profitable for me (and many others) over a decade ago, so it's certainly not my first rodeo, although a personal attack on me is really irrelevant to my point so I don't...

I would have to disagree with the term "easily". Trout was in the top .001% of traders, and the markets were unquestionably completely different decades ago. Still curious how the Trout funds are doing today?

Different era...just out of curiosity how are Trout Trading funds doing today?

Certainly size is limiting to large hedge funds, but even the best team from the best hedge fund given $100K wouldn't commit to a 5% per month return with any kind of reasonable max drawdown amount over any reasonable span of time. If you find something like the timeline arbitrage opportunity...

You would be better than the best hedge funds in the world...if you think that's realistic than all I'll say is it's nice to have counterparties like you in the market!

I don't think any of the reporting requirements are predicated on owning the stock overnight? Certainly it doesn't appear the 13D beneficial ownership report has any limit on length of time which triggers the report, which would be the most common filing of this type. SEC surveillance can figure...

Fully agree on the risk free part. I'd also point out that it's pretty clear no-one associated with that site has a PhD unless it's in divinity studies from a diploma mill. I read academic papers on finance topics as a bit of a hobby, I can't imagine there's a single finance related PhD out...

Gravity is "only a theory", but it does a pretty good job of explaining a lot of things from spaceflight to my walk to the coffee maker this morning!