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Feel free to copy and paste. It's already there, I have nothing to hide. In fact it would be good if you did so, you may learn something, which is what this forum is about. As i said newbies like you need educating, but the mind does needs to be open. Please note that it is you who is coming...

scaleout scalper has pretty much summed up how one would begin. Definition is the 1st step. I leave it now surf, if ok, best of luck.

So if i don't share my research, that must mean that i don't have any. Ok. So if say, Goldman, Sachs or Jim Simons or Pfizer or Google or the CIA refuses to share their research, that accordingly, must mean they don't have any either. Lol. (btw i'm not comparing myself to these august bodies...

Your're a newbie to this site, someone who has been brainwashed by the vanguard boys. but it is ok, you have to start somewhere. There are many on here who will teach you the ways of our craft. Remain polite and ask questions. The answers are here.

No. Investments are not compared to the S&P500. Only silly journalists (and yourself) do that. What has a commodity trading vehicle have to do with the S&P500? Absolutely nothing. There is no correlation. In fact , smart institutional investors look for non correlated investment vehicles because...

You're definitely from vanguard though...

Lol, 4% down, is that all? I'm not correlated to the stock market. Made 26% last year. Currently down 2% this month though. How about you? How have you done on your $1000?

'Yet, even a cursory look at commodity, stock, and currency markets confirms that trends are the rule rather than the exception' - page 30, Alchemy of Finance, George Soros So there you have it. The Master himself declares there are trends in the stock market. He says you can tell this just...

A better term would be "non market maker" rather than saying retail.

No-one cares about retail trade in the markets. It is dwarfed by institutional trading. Your entire hypothesis falls apart when you consider this simple fact (no PhD required).

See ya, must be lunchtime at vanguard. lol

Well, no. All my research is proprietary, i don't just give it out on command! Although tbh, it ain't that complex. Certainly not for a PhD from Chicago, lol. Surf, no offence mate, but although your boss has a phd from chicago, how about you? Are you qualified to talk to me about this subject...

No, that person will be better off than YOU. You can t make statements about others, you have have no idea how much money has been made by plenty of traders on here.

i think you work for Vanguard!

Another problem! You are looking at the average fund or the average trader. This makes no sense. Does the average league football player play for Chelsea? There are hedge funds that have track records for 30 years +, who cares if they have had losing years? Some have had 30% average annual...

Ypur problem is that you have been wasting time looking for the holy grail when you could have just come on here years ago and asked if there was such a thing to which someone would have told you no there is not. You would have stopped then, but no, you come on now, andstate your amazing...

the s&p (or dow) has had plenty of losing years, lost about 90% in the 1929-32 era and has had plenty of 50%+ drawdowns. if this current bull market were to drop by 50% (i don't think it will), how will you be comforting the poor granny who just lost half her life savings and has no time...

no, i lost money last week. i have employed statistical tests in the past and found trends in the stock market quite easily. It helps to define trends first. Your mentor's (i assume vic niederhoffer)'s one time boss, George Soros also believes there are trends in the stock market (source...

Answers and rebuffs to the points raised: 1. Your conclusion is absolutely correct, for you that is. 2. You are wasting your time, correct. 3. Bunch of wannabes - what is wrong with that? you have to have desire to do something. 4. Quite a few hedge funds 'kill it every year' or at least...

Vanguard and Bogle are right for some people, but not for everyone. Blindly following what is probably an overvalued index (however i expect the sp500 to go to 3000 within a couple of years) could possibly be the worst thing financially you could do to the average person.